Analysis of Semiparametric Regression Models for Repeated Outcomes in the Presence of Missing Data
缺失数据下重复结局半参数回归模型的分析AI 解读 ↓
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缺失数据下重复结局半参数回归模型的分析AI 解读 ↓
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We propose a class of inverse probability of censoring weighted estimators for the parameters of models for the dependence of the mean of a vector of correlated response variables on a vector of explanatory variables in the presence of missing response data. The proposed estimators do not require full specification of the likelihood. They can be viewed as an extension of generalized estimating equations estimators that allow for the data to be missing at random but not missing completely at random. These estimators can be used to correct for dependent censoring and nonrandom noncompliance in randomized clinical trials studying the effect of a treatment on the evolution over time of the mean of a response variable. The likelihood-based parametric G-computation algorithm estimator may also be used to attempt to correct for dependent censoring and nonrandom noncompliance. But because of possible model misspecification, the parametric G-computation algorithm estimator, in contrast with the proposed weighted estimators, may be inconsistent for the difference in treatment-arm-specific means, even when compliance is completely at random and censoring is independent. We illustrate our methods with the analysis of the effect of zidovudine (AZT) treatment on the evolution of mean CD4 count with data from an AIDS clinical trial.
The bootstrap is widely used to construct confidence intervals but may perform poorly for some estimators. We consider semiparametric estimators that use cross-validation to estimate nuisance pa- rameters and can be computationally expensive in large datasets. We illustrate potential problems with bootstrapping with replacement when cross-validation is used and extend the cheap bootstrap confidence interval to subsampling without replacement for asymptotically linear…
双重差分与合成控制的结合:双重稳健识别和估计
Difference-in-Differences (DiD) and Synthetic Control (SC) are widely used methods for causal inference in panel data, each with distinct strengths and limitations. We propose a novel method for short-panel causal inference that integrates the advantages of both approaches. Our method delivers a doubly robust identification strategy for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) under either of two non-nested assumptions: parallel trends or a group-level SC condition.…
强度变化的重复处理下的工具变量回归
Instrumental variable models with repeated endogenous treatments are popular in empirical research using pooled cross-sectional or short panel datasets. This paper proposes a novel semi-parametric approach that explicitly considers 1) path dependency in the contemporaneous treatment effect and 2) a direct carryover effect from past treatments. We demonstrate that when either of these new features is present, the standard two-stage least squares estimator is generally…
双重稳健的工具变量双重差分
We study estimation of the local average treatment effect on the treated ($LATT$) in instrumented difference-in-differences (IDiD) designs with covariates and staggered instrument exposure. We derive the efficient influence function (EIF) of the target parameter in both panel and repeated cross-sections settings, allowing for two classes of control groups: never-exposed and not-yet-exposed. Building on the EIF, we construct doubly robust estimands and corresponding…
通过张量补全推断序贯处理的因果效应
Marginal Structural Models (MSMs) are popular for causal inference of sequential treatments in longitudinal observational studies, which however are sensitive to model misspecification. To achieve flexible modeling, we envision the potential outcomes to form a three-dimensional tensor indexed by subject, time, and treatment regime and propose a tensorized history-restricted MSM (HRMSM). The semi-parametric tensor factor model allows us to leverage the underlying low-rank…
事件研究中的时变异质性处理效应
This paper examines the identification and estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in event studies, emphasizing the importance of both lagged dependent variables and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that omitting lagged dependent variables can induce omitted variable bias in the estimated time-varying treatment effects. We develop a novel semiparametric approach based on a short-T dynamic linear panel model with correlated random coefficients, where the…