Exact Finite Sample Density Functions of GCL Estimators of Structural Coefficients in a Leading Exactly Identifiable Case
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As is true of any statistical application, testing econometric statistical hypotheses involves constructing critical regions with prescribed probabilities of Type I error and determining probabilities of Type II error under alternative hypotheses. Such constructions and determinations presuppose knowledge of exact statistical distribution functions of econometric estimators and test statistics either directly, or indirectly, as in the case where a statistical distribution function that approximates the exact distribution with known margin of error is used. If this requisite information is not available, econometric statistical inference remains guesswork. Partly because of the complicated nature of systems of simultaneous econometric structural equations and the large numbers of structural constants required to characterize distribution functions of econometric statistics, however, only a few exact marginal distributions of econometric estimators and test statistics have been extracted so far. This article is intended as a contribution to the growing literature of econometric distribution theory and to assist the efforts of econometric statisticians in providing a rational basis for econometric statistical inference.