Large Sample Study of Empirical Distributions in a Random-Multiplicative Censoring Model
随机乘法删失模型中经验分布的大样本研究AI 解读 ↓
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随机乘法删失模型中经验分布的大样本研究AI 解读 ↓
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Consider an incomplete data problem with the following specifications. There are three independent samples $(X_1, \ldots, X_m), (Z_1, \ldots, Z_n)$ and $(U_1, \ldots, U_n)$. The first two samples are drawn from a common lifetime distribution function $G$, while the third sample is drawn from the uniform distribution over the interval $(0,1)$. In this paper we derive the large sample properties of $\hat{G}_{m,n}$, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of $G$ based on the observed data $X_1, \ldots, X_m$ and $Y_1, \ldots, Y_n$, where $Y_i \equiv Z_iU_i, i = 1, \ldots, n$. (The $Z$'s and $U$'s are unobservable.) In particular we show that if $m$ and $n$ approach infinity at a suitable rate, then $\sup_t|\hat{G}_{m,n}(t) - G(t)| \rightarrow 0$ (a.s.), $\sqrt{m + n}(\hat{G}_{m,n} - G)$ converges weakly to a Gaussian process and the estimate $\hat{G}_{m,n}$ is asymptotically efficient in a nonparametric sense.
弱依赖非线性时间序列模型准似然估计量的一致高斯近似
We study estimation and inference for a semiparametric class of time series models that specify only the conditional expectation, which is a known link function applied to a linear combination of past observations and covariates. The class covers count, binary, bounded and conditionally heteroskedastic responses within a single formulation, and the parameter is estimated by a quasi-likelihood estimating equation based on the first conditional moment. Under stationarity and a…
利用多分位数稳健检验多变量波动率的结构变化
We propose an omnibus nonparametric test for structural changes in the multivariate volatility matrix. The test aggregates bounded generalized quantile scores over a range of quantile levels and has a weighted leave-$q$-out $U$-statistic representation. Deleting nearby index pairs renders the centering effect induced by serial dependence asymptotically negligible. All quantities required for implementation, including the variance estimator used for standardization, are…
获益—风险评价中结局期望排序概率的统一因果推断框架
We developed a unified covariate-adjusted causal inference framework for estimating the desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) probability for benefit-risk evaluation in randomized trials and observational studies. The framework expresses the DOOR probability as a bilinear functional of the marginal ordinal outcome distributions under the two treatment strategies, estimates conditional ordinal distributions through sequential risk-set hazards, and derives the efficient…
事件研究中的时变异质性处理效应
This paper examines the identification and estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in event studies, emphasizing the importance of both lagged dependent variables and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that omitting lagged dependent variables can induce omitted variable bias in the estimated time-varying treatment effects. We develop a novel semiparametric approach based on a short-T dynamic linear panel model with correlated random coefficients, where the…
使用非线性筛方法推断时间序列非参数条件矩限制
This paper studies estimation of and inference on dynamic nonparametric conditional moment restrictions of high dimensional variables for weakly dependent data, where the unknown functions of endogenous variables can be approximated via nonlinear sieves such as neural networks and Gaussian radial bases. The true unknown functions and their sieve approximations are allowed to be in general weighted function spaces with unbounded supports, which is important for time series…
Summary This paper develops a closed-form non-parametric estimator of the conditional distribution function for a binary outcome variable given an unobserved latent variable. This type of function is commonly used in models that involve measurement error and dynamic models with agent-specific unobserved heterogeneity. This paper presents a consistent extremum sieve estimator with the following advantages: (i) it has a closed-form expression for all the sieve coefficients,…