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关注这篇论文的作者
Xiao-Li Meng

缺失数据:拨 M 找寻什么?

研究问题
如何理解真实缺失数据机制与人为构造的潜变量之间的联系,以及它们在统计建模、计算和科学应用中的作用?
方法与思路
作者以简短的个人历史回顾串联多个以 M 开头的主题,从 McKendrick 的疫情分析故事及其与 EM 算法的联系展开。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要强调未观测变量构造在建模与计算中的重要性,并概览缺失机制研究的理论、方法和跨学科实践发展。
阅读关注点
应核对真实数据缺失与主动引入潜变量的区别、历史故事与 EM 的具体联系,以及各主题的论述范围和引用来源。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明;这是作者自述的简短个人回顾,历史与引用并不完整,不能视为系统综述。

原文摘要

The question mark is common notation for the missing data that occur in most applied statistical analyses. Over the past century, statisticians and other scientists not only have invented numerous methods for handling missing/incomplete data, but also have invented many forms of missing data, including data augmentation, hidden states, latent variables, potential outcome, and auxiliary variables. Purposely constructing unobserved/unobservable variables offers an extraordinarily flexible and powerful framework for both scientific modeling and computation and is one of the central statistical contributions to natural, engineering, and social sciences. In parallel, much research has been devoted to better understanding and modeling of real-life missing-data mechanisms; that is, the unintended data selection process that prevents us from observing our intended data. This article is a very brief and personal tour of these developments, and thus necessarily has much missing history and citations. The tour consists of a number of M's, starting with a historic story of the mysterious method of McKendrick for analyzing an epidemic study and its link to the EM algorithm, the most popular and powerful method of the twentieth century for fitting models involving missing data and latent variables. The remaining M's touch on theoretical, methodological, and practical aspects of missingdata problems, highlighted with some common applications in social, computational, biological, medical, and physical sciences.

笔记与分组
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