Iterative and Recursive Estimation in Structural Nonadaptive Models
结构非自适应模型的迭代与递归估计AI 解读 ↓
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结构非自适应模型的迭代与递归估计AI 解读 ↓
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appears well suited for econometric models where the structural relationships of interest define the observed endogenous variables as a known function of unobserved state variables and unknown parameters. This nonlinear state-space specification paves the way for iterative or recursive EM-like strategies. In the E steps, the state variables are forecasted given the observations and a value of the parameters. In the M steps, these forecasts are used to deduce estimators of the unknown parameters from the statistical model of latent variables. The proposed iterative/recursive estimation is particularly useful for latent regression models and for dynamic equilibrium models involving latent state variables. Practical implementation issues are discussed through the example of term structure models of interest rates.