Monotone Response for Random Objects
随机对象的单调处理反应与部分识别AI 解读 ↓
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随机对象的单调处理反应与部分识别AI 解读 ↓
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Monotone treatment response (MTR), monotone treatment selection (MTS), and monotone instrumental variable (MIV) assumptions are widely used to partially identify counterfactual mean outcomes, but existing analyses have focused almost exclusively on scalar outcomes. We develop a unified framework for partial identification with outcomes that take values in a general metric space under these monotonicity restrictions by embedding the metric space into an $L^2$ space and imposing coordinatewise monotonicity on the embedded functions. The proposed framework yields valid identified sets for Fréchet means in a broad class of random-object spaces and further delivers sharp identification results for distributional outcomes under the Wasserstein metric, interval-valued outcomes represented by support functions, and compositional outcomes under the Aitchison metric. We also establish a support-free characterization of the identified set under the joint MTR--MTS assumption. Numerical and empirical illustrations based on Job Corps earnings data and periodontal health distributions from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey demonstrate the empirical usefulness of the proposed framework.
弱识别与少量聚类下工具变量分位数回归的梯度野生自助法
We study the gradient wild bootstrap-based inference for instrumental variable quantile regressions in the framework of a small number of large clusters in which the number of clusters is viewed as fixed, and the number of observations for each cluster diverges to infinity. For the Wald inference, we show that our wild bootstrap Wald test, with or without studentization using the cluster-robust covariance estimator (CRVE), controls size asymptotically up to a small error as…
无需第一阶段单调性的工具变量排除与外生性敏感性分析
Exclusion and exogeneity are core assumptions in instrumental variable (IV) analyses, but their empirical validity is often debated. This paper develops new sensitivity analyses for these assumptions. Our results accommodate arbitrary heterogeneity in treatment effects and do not impose any monotonicity requirements on the first stage. Specifically, we derive identified sets for the marginal distributions of potential outcomes and their functionals, like average treatment…
带约束的条件矩限制模型
Shape restrictions have played a central role in economics as both testable implications of theory and sufficient conditions for obtaining informative counterfactual predictions. In this paper, we provide a general procedure for inference under shape restrictions in identified and partially identified models defined by conditional moment restrictions. Our test statistics and proposed inference methods are based on the minimum of the generalized method of moments (GMM)…
带约束的条件矩限制模型
Shape restrictions have played a central role in economics as both testable implications of theory and sufficient conditions for obtaining informative counterfactual predictions. In this paper we provide a general procedure for inference under shape restrictions in identified and partially identified models defined by conditional moment restrictions. Our test statistics and proposed inference methods are based on the minimum of the generalized method of moments (GMM)…
存在混杂类型时的处理效应识别
In this paper, I consider identification of treatment effects when the treatment is endogenous. The use of instrumental variables is a popular solution to deal with endogeneity, but this may give misleading answers when the instrument is invalid. I show that when an (unobserved) instrument is invalid due to correlation with the first stage unobserved heterogeneity, a proxy for the instrument helps partially identify not only the local average treatment effect, but also the…
竞争风险模型中处理内生性的非参数工具变量方法
This paper discusses endogenous treatment models with duration outcomes, competing risks and random right censoring. The endogeneity issue is solved using a discrete instrumental variable. We show that the competing risks model generates a non-parametric quantile instrumental regression problem. The cause-specific cumulative incidence, the cause-specific hazard and the subdistribution hazard can be recovered from the regression function. A distinguishing feature of the model…