Spatial Modeling Approach for Dynamic Network Formation and Interactions
动态网络形成与互动的空间建模方法AI 解读 ↓
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动态网络形成与互动的空间建模方法AI 解读 ↓
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This study primarily seeks to answer the following question: How do social networks evolve over time and affect individual economic activity? To provide an adequate empirical tool to answer this question, we propose a new modeling approach for longitudinal data of networks and activity outcomes. The key features of our model are the inclusion of dynamic effects and the use of time-varying latent variables to determine unobserved individual traits in network formation and activity interactions. The proposed model combines two well-known models in the field: latent space model for dynamic network formation and spatial dynamic panel data model for network interactions. This combination reflects real situations, where network links and activity outcomes are interdependent and jointly influenced by unobserved individual traits. Moreover, this combination enables us to (1) manage the endogenous selection issue inherited in network interaction studies, and (2) investigate the effect of homophily and individual heterogeneity in network formation. We develop a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling approach to estimate the model. We also provide a Monte Carlo experiment to analyze the performance of our estimation method and apply the model to a longitudinal student network data in Taiwan to study the friendship network formation and peer effect on academic performance. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
含时变内生空间权重、共同因子与随机系数的空间面板自回归模型:贝叶斯分析
This article examines spatial panel autoregressive (SAR) models with dynamic, time-varying endogenous spatial weights matrices, common factors, and random coefficients. An empirical application is on the spillover effects of state Medicaid spending. Endogeneity of spatial weights matrices comes from the correlation of “economic distance” and the disturbances in the SAR equation. Common factors control for common shocks to all states and random coefficients may capture…
带固定效应的变系数空间动态面板模型:理论与应用
This paper considers a varying-coefficient spatial dynamic panel data model with fixed effects. We show that a two-point approximation method poses a potential weak identification problem. We propose a robust modified estimator to address this issue. Our two-step estimation procedure incorporates both linear and quadratic moment conditions. We also extend our analysis to a partially linear varying-coefficient model and develop a consistent test for this specification. We…
无预设空间权重限制的面板空间自回归模型快速两阶段变分贝叶斯估计
This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional units without imposing any a priori restrictions. Monte Carlo experiments show that our approach works well for both long and short panels. We are also the first in the literature to develop VB methods to estimate large covariance matrices…
内生时变空间权重下空间动态面板模型的拟极大似然估计
In spatial panel data models, when a spatial weights matrix is constructed from economic or social distance, spatial weights could be endogenous and also time varying. This paper presents model specification and proposes QMLE estimation of spatial dynamic panel data models with endogenous time varying spatial weights matrices. Asymptotic properties of the proposed QMLE are rigorously established. We extend the notion of spatial near-epoch dependence to allow time dependence.…
含随机波动率与多重时变权重的贝叶斯空间自回归模型
A novel spatial autoregressive model for panel data is introduced, which incorporates multilayer networks and accounts for time-varying relationships. Moreover, the proposed approach allows the structural variance to evolve smoothly over time and enables the analysis of shock propagation in terms of time-varying spillover effects. The framework is applied to analyse the dynamics of international relationships among the G7 economies and their impact on stock market returns…
空间动态面板的再中心化矩估计量
This paper proposes a recentered method of moments (RMM) approach for estimating spatial dynamic panel data (SDPD) models with both individual and time fixed effects. This approach directly exploits the correlation of regressors and disturbances, where heteroskedasticity may exist across units and/or over time. It is computationally tractable and can handle situations where other methods are not applicable. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically…