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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究二元解释变量误分类与贝叶斯部分识别,并未明确涉及离散选择或因果效应识别。

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二元协变量误分类回归中的贝叶斯矩条件推断

研究问题
二元协变量存在误分类且回归系数仅部分识别时,对误分类概率的不同先验信息如何影响参数的贝叶斯推断?
方法与思路
作者对未知误分类概率设置先验,在仅由矩条件约束的模型中提出两种后验抽样算法,并扩展至误测协变量内生的情形。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要强调,先验信息未必缩小识别集,却可以收紧贝叶斯推断;作者用模拟及止痛药使用与收入关联的应用展示方法。
阅读关注点
应核对矩条件如何形成贝叶斯推断、两种算法的目标分布,以及先验敏感性、识别集与后验集中程度之间的区别。
阅读边界
仅据RePEc所载出版社摘要,先验设定及算法细节未说明;后验更集中不能直接解释为识别集缩小或已识别因果效应。

原文摘要

We present a Bayesian analysis of a regression model with a binary covariate that may have classification (measurement) error. Prior research demonstrates that the regression coefficient is only partially identified. We take a Bayesian approach which adds assumptions in the form of priors on the unknown misclassification probabilities. The approach is intermediate between the frequentist bounds of previous literature and strong assumptions which achieve point identification, and thus preferable in many settings. We present two simple algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution when the likelihood function is not fully parametric but only satisfies a set of moment restrictions. We focus on how varying amounts of information contained in a prior distribution on the misclassification probabilities change the posterior of the parameters of interest. While the priors add information to the model, they do not necessarily tighten the identified set. However, the information is sufficient to tighten Bayesian inferences. We also consider the case where the mismeasured binary regressor is endogenous. We illustrate the use of our Bayesian approach in a simulated data set and an empirical application investigating the association between narcotic pain reliever use and earnings.

笔记与分组