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关注这篇论文的作者
Jenny N. Lye
Vance L. Martin

稳健估计、非正态性与广义指数分布

研究问题
如何用灵活的分布族描述数据中的异常值和非正态性,同时容纳对称厚尾、偏斜乃至多峰形态,并估计相关参数?
方法与思路
作者提出广义指数分布族,利用其中的子分布拟合经验分布,按数据性质采用极大似然、加权最小二乘或最小卡方估计。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,该分布族扩展已有单峰指数分布族,并重点分析广义 Student t 与广义对数正态分布,通过两个实证问题展示灵活性。
阅读关注点
应核对分布族和子分布的准确形式、参数范围与可识别性,以及不同估计方法的适用条件、稳健性的定义和实证比较标准。
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原文摘要

The detection and treatment of outliers in data has represented an important area of research. The general approach that has been adopted involves observing that outliers contribute to the “fatness” in the tails of the error distribution and using an appropriate model of the error term to take this into account. This article introduces a general dass of distributions to capture nonnormalities in the data based on the generalized exponential family. This family of distributions provides great flexibility in modeling not only Symmetrie fat-tailed distributions, but also skewed and possibly even multimodal distributions. The approach taken is to use subordinate distributions within the generalized exponential family to model the empirical distribution. This family represents a generalization of the unimodal exponential family, which contains as subordinates the normal, gamma, beta, Student t, and so forth. The parameters of the generalized exponential distribution can be estimated using maximum likelihood, weighted least squares, or minimum chi-squared methods, depending on the nature of the data. Special attention is given to analyzing the distributional properties of two subordinates of this family; namely, the generalized Student t and generalized lognormal distributions. The flexibility of these distributions is illustrated by applying them to two empirical problems and comparing the results with previous methods.

笔记与分组
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