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本页整理公开书目信息,不生成学术质量评分。AI 解读根据题名及所注明的摘要或原文片段生成,未完成全文核验,可能有误;具体假设、证明与结论请核对原文。摘要保留来源文本,未经模型改写。

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分类依据与纠错

AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究现状生存数据、监测机制及局部效率,未涉及所列经济学细分中的因果效应或分布效应问题。

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关注这篇论文的作者
James M. Robins

含时变协变量的现状数据局部有效估计

研究问题
当只知道事件是否在监测时点前发生,且协变量仅观测至该时点时,如何估计事件时间分布并改善推断效率?
方法与思路
作者在随机粗化限制下建模监测机制,先构造逆删失概率加权估计,再利用较低维的条件事件分布模型构造一步估计。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称监测模型正确时估计一致且渐近正态;条件事件分布模型也正确时,一步估计达到效率界,后者误设仍保留前述性质。
阅读关注点
应核对随机粗化条件、监测模型的正确设定要求,以及局部效率结论所需的附加条件与一步修正的具体实现。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明;稳健性陈述以监测模型正确为前提,不能推断两个模型任意一个正确即可。

原文摘要

In biostatistical applications, interest often focuses on the estimation of the distribution of a failure time variable T. If one observes only whether or not T exceeds an observed monitoring time C, then the data structure is called current status data, also known as interval-censored data, case I. We extend the data structure by allowing the presence of a possibly time-dependent covariate process which is observed up till the monitoring time C. We follow the approach of Robins and Rotnitzky by modeling the hazard of C conditional on the failure time variable and the covariate-process (i.e., the missingness or censoring process) under the restriction that the missingness (monitoring) process satisfies coarsening at random. Because of the curse of dimensionality, no globally efficient nonparametric estimators with a good practical performance at moderate sample sizes exist. We introduce an inverse probability of censoring weighted estimator of the distribution and of smooth functionals of this distribution that are guaranteed to be consistent and asymptotically normal if we have available a correctly specified parametric or semiparametric model for the missingness process. Furthermore, given a correctly specified model for the missingness process, we propose a locally efficient one-step estimator whose asymptotic variance attains the efficiency bound, if we correctly specify a lower-dimensional model for the conditional distribution of T given the covariates. The estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal even if this latter submodel is misspecified. We conclude with a simulation experiment and a data analysis.

笔记与分组
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