Likelihood estimation of sparse topic distributions in topic models and its applications to Wasserstein document distance calculations
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主题模型中稀疏主题分布的似然估计及 Wasserstein 文档距离应用AI 解读 ↓
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This paper studies the estimation of high-dimensional, discrete, possibly sparse, mixture models in the context of topic models. The data consists of observed multinomial counts of p words across n independent documents. In topic models, the p×n expected word frequency matrix is assumed to be factorized as a p×K word-topic matrix A and a K×n topic-document matrix T. Since columns of both matrices represent conditional probabilities belonging to probability simplices, columns of A are viewed as p-dimensional mixture components that are common to all documents while columns of T are viewed as the K-dimensional mixture weights that are document specific and are allowed to be sparse. The main interest is to provide sharp, finite sample, ℓ1-norm convergence rates for estimators of the mixture weights T when A is either known or unknown. For known A, we suggest MLE estimation of T. Our nonstandard analysis of the MLE not only establishes its ℓ1 convergence rate, but also reveals a remarkable property: the MLE, with no extra regularization, can be exactly sparse and contain the true zero pattern of T. We further show that the MLE is both minimax optimal and adaptive to the unknown sparsity in a large class of sparse topic distributions. When A is unknown, we estimate T by optimizing the likelihood function corresponding to a plug in, generic, estimator Aˆ of A. For any estimator Aˆ that satisfies carefully detailed conditions for proximity to A, we show that the resulting estimator of T retains the properties established for the MLE. Our theoretical results allow the ambient dimensions K and p to grow with the sample sizes. Our main application is to the estimation of 1-Wasserstein distances between document generating distributions. We propose, estimate and analyze new 1-Wasserstein distances between alternative probabilistic document representations, at the word and topic level, respectively. We derive finite sample bounds on the estimated proposed 1-Wasserstein distances. For word level document-distances, we provide contrast with existing rates on the 1-Wasserstein distance between standard empirical frequency estimates. The effectiveness of the proposed 1-Wasserstein distances is illustrated by an analysis of an IMDB movie reviews data set. Finally, our theoretical results are supported by extensive simulation studies.
高维 Ornstein–Uhlenbeck 过程漂移项的稀疏估计
We study sparsity-regularized maximum likelihood estimation for the drift parameter of high-dimensional non-stationary Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes given repeated measurements of i.i.d. paths. In particular, we show that Lasso and Slope estimators can achieve the minimax optimal rate of convergence. We exhibit numerical experiments for sparse estimation methods and show their performance.
We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data arising from complex problem-solving items, an emerging type of data in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the classical frailty models developed in survival analysis for multivariate recurrent event times, but with two important distinctions: (i) the factor (frailty) is of primary interest; (ii) covariates are internal and embedded in the factor. It allows…
多维速度变化检测中惩罚最大似然估计的一致性
We establish statistical consistency for the penalized maximum-likelihood estimator underlying CPLASS, a method for detecting changes in velocity in $d$-dimensional time-series data. The signal is modeled as a continuous piecewise-linear trajectory observed with independent Gaussian noise. Unlike classical change-in-mean models, continuity across adjacent segments couples their parameters and prevents direct application of standard segmentation arguments. Under compact…
扰动效用模型的 Fenchel–Young 估计量
Perturbed Utility Models (PUMs) represent discrete choice as utility maximization under convex perturbation or regularization, encompassing a broad class of choice models, including Multinomial Logit (MNL) and models that permit zero choice probabilities. Because, for general perturbations, maximum likelihood may be non-convex, and the negative log-likelihood is infinite when a sparse model assigns zero probability to an observed choice, we specialize the Fenchel--Young…
正则非光滑模型的归一化最大似然:测度论基础与几何采样
The Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) codelength, or stochastic complexity, represents a principled criterion for universal coding. While recent coarea-based formulations provided a calculation method for smooth models, this framework collapses for the non-smooth estimators ubiquitous in modern machine learning (e.g., Lasso, Sparse SVMs). In this work, we provide a rigorous framework for computing the NML for regular path-differentiable Lipschitz (PDL) estimators. By…
结合协变量与稀疏内在得分的实体排序
This paper addresses the item ranking problem with associated covariates, focusing on scenarios where the preference scores can not be fully explained by covariates, and the remaining intrinsic scores are sparse. Specifically, we extend the pioneering Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model by incorporating covariate information and considering sparse individual intrinsic scores. Our work introduces novel model identification conditions and examines the statistical rates of the…