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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确涵盖非结构化混杂控制下的平均处理效应及需求模型价格弹性估计。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Yuya Shimizu

使用预训练嵌入处理非结构化数据的计量经济学

研究问题
为其他数据和任务训练的文本或图像嵌入,何时能可靠用于经济分析,其识别与估计误差会如何影响目标参数?
方法与思路
作者提出包括可迁移性在内的充分条件,推导收敛率,并构造无需重新估计嵌入与干扰函数的自助检验。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称理论适用于多类双重机器学习任务,包括因果效应、需求价格弹性和缺失数据处理,并展示劳动供给应用。
阅读关注点
应核对可迁移性的定义、嵌入识别问题的处理,以及自助检验条件和预训练误差进入目标估计的具体方式。
阅读边界
这是 arXiv 预印本,同行评审与期刊接收未核实;摘要未列出充分条件,不能据此认定任意预训练嵌入适合目标任务。

原文摘要

Unstructured data, such as images and text, are increasingly used in empirical economics. Since training machine-learning models on unstructured data is costly, economists often use off-the-shelf pre-trained deep learning models developed by computer scientists to extract embeddings, which are then used as covariates in target economic analyses. Despite the popularity of this practice, its theoretical foundations remain limited. There are two main difficulties. First, pre-trained models are typically trained on different datasets and for different tasks, making it unclear when they can be used reliably for the target task. Second, the embedding function is subject to an identification problem, complicating the analysis of its estimation error and the effect of that error on the target task. We provide sufficient conditions to overcome these difficulties. A key condition, which we call transferability, governs the convergence rate we derive. To assess transferability, we develop a computationally feasible bootstrap test that does not require re-estimating the embeddings and nuisance functions. Our theory applies to a wide range of double machine learning applications, including partially linear regression with unstructured controls, price elasticity estimation in demand models accounting for product quality measured by images and text, missing-data imputation using unstructured data, and average treatment effect estimation with unstructured confounders. As an empirical application, we estimate the labor supply elasticity on Amazon Mechanical Turk, an online labor market platform, using job-description embeddings as controls.

笔记与分组