Spectrum estimation for large dimensional covariance matrices using random matrix theory
利用随机矩阵理论估计高维协方差矩阵的谱AI 解读 ↓
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利用随机矩阵理论估计高维协方差矩阵的谱AI 解读 ↓
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Estimating the eigenvalues of a population covariance matrix from a sample covariance matrix is a problem of fundamental importance in multivariate statistics; the eigenvalues of covariance matrices play a key role in many widely used techniques, in particular in principal component analysis (PCA). In many modern data analysis problems, statisticians are faced with large datasets where the sample size, n, is of the same order of magnitude as the number of variables p. Random matrix theory predicts that in this context, the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix are not good estimators of the eigenvalues of the population covariance. We propose to use a fundamental result in random matrix theory, the Marčenko–Pastur equation, to better estimate the eigenvalues of large dimensional covariance matrices. The Marčenko–Pastur equation holds in very wide generality and under weak assumptions. The estimator we obtain can be thought of as “shrinking” in a nonlinear fashion the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix to estimate the population eigenvalues. Inspired by ideas of random matrix theory, we also suggest a change of point of view when thinking about estimation of high-dimensional vectors: we do not try to estimate directly the vectors but rather a probability measure that describes them. We think this is a theoretically more fruitful way to think about these problems. Our estimator gives fast and good or very good results in extended simulations. Our algorithmic approach is based on convex optimization. We also show that the proposed estimator is consistent.
高维近似因子时间序列模型的主成分分析:假设、渐近理论与识别
We consider estimation of large approximate factor models in high-dimensional panels of stationary time series using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We review the key results establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators, which hold when both the cross-sectional dimension $n$ and the sample size $T$ tend to infinity. Special emphasis is placed on identification. First, we show that the common and…
We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data arising from complex problem-solving items, an emerging type of data in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the classical frailty models developed in survival analysis for multivariate recurrent event times, but with two important distinctions: (i) the factor (frailty) is of primary interest; (ii) covariates are internal and embedded in the factor. It allows…
We propose a novel framework in high-dimensional factor models to simultaneously analyze multiple tensor time series, each with potentially different tensor orders and dimensionality. The connection between different tensor time series is through their global factors that are correlated to each other. A salient feature of our model is that when all tensor time series have the same order, it can be regarded as an extension of multilevel factor models from vectors to general…
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Spectral methods are central to high-dimensional statistics and machine learning, underlying procedures for covariance estimation, matrix denoising, representation learning, clustering, and latent variable modeling. In this work, we focus primarily on spectral estimators for high-dimensional factor models, where leading singular vectors of the data matrix are used to estimate latent structure and covariance parameters. In many modern applications, however, data are collected…
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In high-dimensional factor pricing models, the power of regularized alpha tests depends on the ridge parameter, whose optimal value varies with the unknown direction of pricing errors. We address this tuning uncertainty by combining ridge-specific p-values using the Cauchy rule. The resulting test retains the least-squares alpha estimator and residual sample covariance and accommodates more assets than observations. We establish the joint Gaussian limits of the component…
Copula主动子空间(一):非高斯密度降维估计的得分协方差方法
In Bayesian inference problems with non-Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is only as accurate as the noise density, and gradient-based samplers need that density and its gradient evaluable pointwise, whether from an explicit expression or from code, and without an inner solve. We propose Copula Active Subspaces (CAS) to represent this noise density. A componentwise rank transform isolates the noise law's dependence in its copula, and a rank-$r$ reduction keeps only…