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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确针对时间序列回归中的自相关检验及其临界值表,直接支持归入时间序列方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
N. E. Savin
Kenneth J. White

极端样本量或较多回归变量下的 Durbin–Watson 序列相关检验

研究问题
在观测数很少、较多或解释变量较多时,如何扩大 Durbin–Watson 自相关界限检验的可用范围,突破既有临界值表限制?
方法与思路
作者围绕 Durbin–Watson d 统计量的界限检验提供扩展临界值表,使更多样本量和回归变量数量的组合能够使用该检验。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称扩展表覆盖 6 至 200 个观测和最多 20 个回归变量,使原有表难以覆盖的小样本及较多解释变量情形得到支持。
阅读关注点
应核对显著性水平、上下界表的计算方式、常数项是否计入变量数,以及落入不确定区间时的解释与回归设定限制。
阅读边界
摘要未给出表格计算细节、数值误差控制或新表对应的功效结果;扩展临界值表不意味着界限检验的不确定区间被消除。

原文摘要

Recent studies by Durbin and Watson [5], L'Esperance and Taylor [10], Koerts and Abrahamse [8], Tillman [15], Vinod [16], Savin and White [14] and others have shown increasing interest in the test of autocorrelation based on the d statistic proposed by Durbin and Watson [3 and 4]. The focus of these papers has been the computation of the exact distribution of d and the power of the test based on d. The exact distribution of d has been developed by Imhof [7] and Pan Jie-Jian [12]. However, few of the generally available computer programs for regression analysis incorporate these methods,2 possibly because of computational costs, particularly for large samples. With the Durbin and Watson [4] tables the bounds test is restricted to time series regressions with 15 to 100 observations and a maximum of 5 regressors in addition to unity. Often regression studies do not meet these restrictions since samples with less than 15 observations commonly occur with annual time series and regressions with more than 5 regressors are often found in the context of simultaneous equations and of distributed lags.3 In this paper we present extended tables for the bounds test. Our tables can be used for samples with 6 to 200 observations and for as many as 20 regressors.

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