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关注这篇论文的作者
Xuan Chen
Carlos A. Flores

样本选择与不依从下的处理效应界:Job Corps的工资影响

研究问题
实验中同时存在工资仅对就业者可见的样本选择,以及受试者不遵从处理分配时,如何界定项目的平均工资效应?
方法与思路
作者在主分层框架内同时处理选择与不依从,推导非参数处理效应界,并将其用于Job Corps工资影响的评估。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称在单调性和均值占优假设下,始终就业的依从者随机分配四年后的平均工资效应界为5.7%至13.9%。
阅读关注点
应核对主分层目标人群、单调性与均值占优的具体含义,以及界的估计、统计不确定性和分组结果的构造。
阅读边界
摘要未给出假设的完整形式、证明或置信区间;工资效应界针对始终就业的依从者,不能推广为全体参与者的效应。

原文摘要

Randomized and natural experiments are commonly used in economics and other social science fields to estimate the effect of programs and interventions. Even when employing experimental data, assessing the impact of a treatment is often complicated by the presence of sample selection (outcomes are only observed for a selected group) and noncompliance (some treatment group individuals do not receive the treatment while some control individuals do). We address both of these identification problems simultaneously and derive nonparametric bounds for average treatment effects within a principal stratification framework. We employ these bounds to empirically assess the wage effects of Job Corps (JC), the most comprehensive and largest federally funded job training program for disadvantaged youth in the United States. Our results strongly suggest positive average effects of JC on wages for individuals who comply with their treatment assignment and would be employed whether or not they enrolled in JC (the “always-employed compliers”). Under relatively weak monotonicity and mean dominance assumptions, we find that this average effect is between 5.7% and 13.9% 4 years after randomization, and between 7.7% and 17.5% for non-Hispanics. Our results are consistent with larger effects of JC on wages than those found without adjusting for noncompliance.

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