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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要讨论毒理实验的阈值与拟似然方法,不能据此归入金融风险或其他所列细分。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Pamela F. Schwartz
Chris Gennings

生殖与发育实验中联合暴露数据的阈值模型

研究问题
多种毒性因子共同作用且存在窝内效应时,如何估计区分背景响应与剂量反应趋势的阈值边界?
方法与思路
作者建立包含因子交互作用的阈值模型,以拟似然处理过度离散,并用拟似然比统计量进行检验和区间构造。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要提出联合暴露阈值的估计方法、总体剂量反应检验及阈值置信区域,并提供单因子和三因子数据示例。
阅读关注点
应核对阈值边界与交互作用的具体设定、窝内依赖的处理,以及拟似然比检验和置信区域成立的条件。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明;阈值存在属于建模前提,摘要未给出检验分布、覆盖表现或刊本变化。

原文摘要

In risk assessment, thresholds are generally believed to exist for toxic reproductive and developmental agents. Therefore, dose combinations exist below the threshold where the response is not distinguishable from background and above the threshold where a dose-response trend results. Because data from combination experiments are more reflective of human exposure to environmental agents, threshold models that incorporate the effect of interactions among these agents are developed. For s agents acting in combination, the threshold is an s-dimensional surface. More specifically, for a combination of two agents, the threshold is a two-dimensional contour of dose combinations, and for a single agent, the threshold is represented by a single dose value, not necessarily a dose level used in the experiment. In toxicological experiments designed to investigate the reproductive or developmental effects of a chemical on laboratory animals, litter effects typically are present, yielding overdispersion. Instead of assuming a particular distributional form for the binary responses, quasi-likelihood methods often are used where parameters are introduced to measure the overdispersion. This article describes threshold models for combination reproductive and developmental experiments and develops parameter estimation techniques using quasi-likelihood methods. Once parameters are estimated, a hypothesis test for an overall dose-response relationship is performed using a quasi-likelihood ratio statistic. Next, a confidence interval about the threshold parameter is constructed using a quasi-likelihood ratio statistic, and finally, a confidence region is constructed about the threshold surface. Illustrative examples are presented that use single-agent reproductive data from the National Toxicology Program and three-agent combination developmental data from the Environmental Protection Agency and ManTech Environmental Technology, Inc.

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