GMM estimation for high-dimensional panel data models
高维面板数据模型的 GMM 估计AI 解读 ↓
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In this paper, we study a class of high dimensional moment restriction panel data models with interactive effects, where the factors are unobserved and these factor loadings are nonparametrically unknown smooth functions of individual characteristic variables. We allow the dimension of the parameter vector and the number of moment conditions to diverge with the sample size. This is a very general framework and is closely related to many existing linear and nonlinear panel data models. In order to estimate the unknown parameters, factors and factor loadings, we propose a sieve-based generalized method of moments estimation method and we show that under a set of simple identification conditions, all those unknown quantities can be consistently estimated. Further we establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators. In addition, we propose tests for over-identification, specification of factor loading functions, and establish their large sample properties. Moreover, a number of simulation studies are conducted to examine the performance of the proposed estimators and test statistics in finite samples. An empirical example on stock return prediction is studied to demonstrate both the empirical relevance and the applicability of the proposed framework and corresponding estimation and testing methods.
含交互固定效应的异质面板二元响应模型
In this paper, we investigate binary response models for heterogeneous panel data with interactive fixed effects by allowing both the cross-sectional dimension and the temporal dimension to diverge. From a practical point of view, the proposed framework can be applied to predict the probability of corporate failure, conduct credit rating analysis, etc. Theoretically and methodologically, we build a link between a maximum likelihood estimation and a least squares approach,…
Summary This paper focuses on estimating the coefficients and average partial effects of observed regressors in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, using the common correlated effects framework. The proposed two-step estimation method involves applying principal component analysis to estimate the latent factors based on cross-sectional averages of the regressors in the first step, and jointly estimating the coefficients of the regressors and the…
Nickell 遇上 Stambaugh:面板预测回归中的双重偏差
In panel predictive regressions with persistent covariates, coexistence of the Nickell bias and the Stambaugh bias imposes challenges for estimation and hypothesis testing. This paper introduces an innovative estimator, the Double IVX (DIVX), inspired by the IVX technique in time series. DIVX effectively removes this composite Nickell-Stambaugh bias and reinstates standard inferential procedures based on the t-statistic. This new procedure achieves unified inference across a…
非共同结构断点
We develop a new Bayesian approach to estimate noncommon structural breaks in panel regression models. Any subset of the cross-section may be hit at different times within a break window. Break-specific parameters are learned from the cross-section. They reflect whether (i) breaks hit many or few series and (ii) there is a long or short lag between the first and final series hit by a break. In an empirical application to international stock return predictability, the method…
一般预测变量下的面板可预测性检验
Summary The difficulty of predicting returns has recently motivated researchers to start looking for tests that are either more powerful or robust to more features of the data. Unfortunately, the way that these tests work typically involves trading robustness for power or vice versa. The current paper takes this as its starting point to develop a new panel‐based approach to predictability that is both robust and powerful. Specifically, while the panel route to increased…
交互固定效应下部分识别面板模型的推断
In this paper, we develop methods for statistical inferences in a partially identified nonparametric panel data model with endogeneity and interactive fixed effects. Under some normalization rules, we can concentrate out the large-dimensional parameter vector of factor loadings and specify a set of conditional moment restrictions that are involved with only the finite-dimensional factor parameters along with the infinite-dimensional nonparametric component. For a conjectured…