Uniform Inference on High-Dimensional Spatial Panel Networks
高维空间面板网络的统一推断AI 解读 ↓
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高维空间面板网络的统一推断AI 解读 ↓
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We propose employing a high-dimensional generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, regularized for dimension reduction and subsequently debiased to correct for shrinkage bias (referred to as a debiased-regularized estimator), for inference on large-scale spatial panel networks. In particular, the network structure, which incorporates a flexible sparse deviation that can be regarded either as a latent component or as a misspecification of a predetermined adjacency matrix, is estimated using a debiased machine learning approach. The theoretical analysis establishes the consistency and asymptotic normality of our proposed estimator, taking into account general temporal and spatial dependencies inherent in the data-generating processes. A primary contribution of our study is the development of a uniform inference theory, which enables hypothesis testing on the parameters of interest, including zero or non-zero elements in the network structure. Additionally, the asymptotic properties of the estimator are derived for both linear and nonlinear moments. Simulations demonstrate the superior performance of our proposed approach. Finally, we apply our methodology to investigate the spatial network effects of stock returns.
高维空间面板网络的一致有效推断
We propose employing a high-dimensional generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, regularized for dimension reduction and subsequently debiased to correct for shrinkage bias (referred to as a debiased-regularized estimator), for inference on large-scale spatial panel networks. In particular, the network structure, which incorporates a flexible sparse deviation that can be regarded either as a latent component or as a misspecification of a predetermined adjacency matrix,…
网络辅助的高维因子模型估计
This article takes advantage of group-level heterogeneity and network cohesion phenomenon to improve the estimation accuracy of approximate factor models. As large heterogeneous panels become available, a grouped pattern of unobserved heterogeneity in the panel data is highlighted. Clustering of factor loadings provides a solution to model group-level heterogeneity. Moreover, networks are frequently observed in economics and finance, which capture the interconnectivity…
面板模型结构突变下潜在联系结构与溢出效应的恢复
This paper introduces a framework to analyze time-varying spillover effects in panel data. We consider panel models where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own characteristics (private effects) but also on the characteristics of other units (spillover effects). The linkage of units is allowed to be latent and may shift at an unknown breakpoint. We propose a novel procedure to estimate the breakpoint, linkage structure, spillover and private effects. We address the…
存在溢出效应的合成控制方法:识别与贝叶斯推断
The synthetic control method (SCM) is widely used for causal inference with panel data, particularly when the number of treated units is small. It relies on the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA), ruling out spillover effects. However, interventions often affect not only treated but also untreated units. This study proposes a novel panel data method that extends standard SCM to account for spillovers and estimate both treatment and spillover effects. The approach…
含非参数内生效应的空间自回归面板模型估计
This paper proposes a sieve generalized method of moments (GMM) method for the estimation of spatial autoregressive panel data models with nonparametric endogenous effect. The new estimator incorporates both linear moments based on the orthogonality of the exogenous regressors with the model disturbances and quadratic moments based on the properties of idiosyncratic errors. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the sieve GMM estimator and show that it is…
带固定效应的变系数空间动态面板模型:理论与应用
This paper considers a varying-coefficient spatial dynamic panel data model with fixed effects. We show that a two-point approximation method poses a potential weak identification problem. We propose a robust modified estimator to address this issue. Our two-step estimation procedure incorporates both linear and quadratic moment conditions. We also extend our analysis to a partially linear varying-coefficient model and develop a consistent test for this specification. We…