On a Population Sample for Greece
希腊人口抽样调查AI 解读 ↓
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希腊人口抽样调查
- 研究问题
- 如何在有限时间和人员条件下，通过住户抽样估计希腊战后人口规模及其人口特征，并量化抽样不确定性？
- 方法与思路
- 作者按1940年人口规模划分地区，从有地理和字母排序的人口普查名单中系统抽取地区，再抽取住户。
- 材料陈述的贡献
- 摘要报告约200个地区中的3052户调查及人口估计，称其配置接近最优资源分配，并为部分人口特征计算标准误。
- 阅读关注点
- 应核对地区与住户的抽取概率、估计权重和标准误计算，尤其关注旧普查框架对战后人口覆盖的影响。
- 阅读边界
- 仅据OpenAlex索引摘要，稿件版本未注明；覆盖误差、无应答处理及区间含义未说明，所报精度不能概括全部误差。
原文摘要
Samples of households and of names from electoral lists were compared in connection with the work of the Allied Mission for Observing the Greek Elections. Only the sample of households taken in the summer of 1946 is described in detail here. The 3052 sample households were drawn from a primary sample of about 200 areas. Villages, towns, and cities were classified on the basis of their 1940 populations, and a sample of areas and households was drawn, conforming closely to the principle of optimum allocation of resources and manpower. Geographic distribution was obtained automatically by drawing the areas at systematic intervals from the 1940 Census lists, which were arranged in geographic and alphabetic order. The sample gave an estimate of .988 for the ratio of the 1946 to the 1940 population, with a standard error of 2.1 percent. This ratio corresponds to a 1946 population of 7.26 ± .15 million. Numerous other population characteristics such as distribution by sex and age, literacy, and employment, and industry, were estimated and the standard errors were computed for some of them. The entire sample and the computations were completed in seven weeks.