ON THE PARAMETRIZATION OF MULTIVARIATE GARCH MODELS
多元 GARCH 模型的参数化AI 解读 ↓
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This paper deals with issues of structure and parametrization of VECH models proposed in Bollerslev, Engle, and Wooldridge (1988) and Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner (BEKK) models. Both general models and also restricted versions such as the widely used diagonal VECH (DVECH) and factor generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (F-GARCH) models are discussed. A simple algorithm is presented that checks whether a given VECH model may be cast as a BEKK model. It is shown that in the bivariate case BEKK models are as general as VECH models. In higher dimensional cases however, VECH models allow for more flexibility. In addition, a parametrization for a generic, i.e., open and dense, class of BEKK models is given, and the frequently cited parametrization by Engle and Kroner (1995, Econometric Theory 11, 122–150) is analyzed. Two shortcomings of the latter are pointed out. Finally, parametrizations for BEKK(p,q,K) models with K ≤ n, including DVECH, F-GARCH, and a generalization of the latter, are discussed.This research was supported by the project P17065 “Identification of multivariate dynamic systems with a focus on dimension reduction” of the Austrian Science Foundation (FWF).
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We study the anatomy of commodity risk by distinguishing micro, market-level, and economy-wide sources. We develop a two-stage "divide-and-conquer" framework that allows sensitivities to these risk sources to vary across commodities while treating economy-wide risk as latent. The first stage uses defactored instrumental-variable estimation to recover commodity-specific sensitivities to micro and market conditions. The second combines principal components with…
基于条件异方差识别日度油价冲击及其不确定性
This paper develops a daily structural VAR for identifying oil price shocks from conditional heteroskedasticity and quantifies the transmission of their timevarying uncertainty. Identification exploits volatility clustering and spillovers in a structural GARCH specification and the complete identified set is derived. We derive covariance impulse response functions and introduce a time-varying forecast error variance decomposition (TV-FEVD) that allows for a decomposition of…
基于瞬时波动率的四次变差估计札记
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适用于多资产的计算高效多元波动率模型
This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model that accommodates dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties such as identifiability and computational tractability for many assets.A sufficient condition for strict stationarity is derived for the process.Two quasi-maximum likelihood estimation methods are proposed for the new model without and with…
Tensor-BEKK:张量时间序列的条件协方差建模与推断
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网络实现 GARCH–Itô 模型:基于高频识别的波动率溢出
We introduce a network realized GARCH-Itô model in which volatility transmission is a dynamic relation among the latent daily integrated volatilities of multiple assets. An unknown directed and signed network is embedded in a continuous-time variance process and appears in the resulting exponential daily recursion. Intraday returns identify integrated volatility and hence the network that governs its propagation. For a fixed network template, feasible estimation based on…