Convergence of contrastive divergence algorithm in exponential family
指数族中对比散度算法的收敛性AI 解读 ↓
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指数族中对比散度算法的收敛性AI 解读 ↓
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The Contrastive Divergence (CD) algorithm has achieved notable success in training energy-based models including Restricted Boltzmann Machines and played a key role in the emergence of deep learning. The idea of this algorithm is to approximate the intractable term in the exact gradient of the log-likelihood function by using short Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) runs. The approximate gradient is computationally-cheap but biased. Whether and why the CD algorithm provides an asymptotically consistent estimate are still open questions. This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the CD algorithm in canonical exponential families, which are special cases of the energy-based model. Suppose the CD algorithm runs $m$ MCMC transition steps at each iteration $t$ and iteratively generates a sequence of parameter estimates $\{\theta_{t}\}_{t\ge 0}$ given an i.i.d. data sample $\{X_{i}\}_{i=1}^{n}\sim p_{\theta_{\star }}$. Under conditions which are commonly obeyed by the CD algorithm in practice, we prove the existence of some bounded $m$ such that any limit point of the time average $\sum_{s=0}^{t-1}\theta_{s}/t$ as $t\to\infty $ is a consistent estimate for the true parameter $\theta_{\star }$. Our proof is based on the fact that $\{\theta_{t}\}_{t\ge 0}$ is a homogenous Markov chain conditional on the data sample $\{X_{i}\}_{i=1}^{n}$. This chain meets the Foster–Lyapunov drift criterion and converges to a random walk around the maximum likelihood estimate. The range of the random walk shrinks to zero at rate $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt[3]{{n}})$ as the sample size $n\to \infty $.
RBF 核高斯过程最大似然估计的精确渐近理论
Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the radial basis function (RBF), also known as the squared exponential or Gaussian kernel, owing to its simple form, smoothness, and flexibility. In practice, the…
正则非光滑模型的归一化最大似然:测度论基础与几何采样
The Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) codelength, or stochastic complexity, represents a principled criterion for universal coding. While recent coarea-based formulations provided a calculation method for smooth models, this framework collapses for the non-smooth estimators ubiquitous in modern machine learning (e.g., Lasso, Sparse SVMs). In this work, we provide a rigorous framework for computing the NML for regular path-differentiable Lipschitz (PDL) estimators. By…
贝叶斯非参数准似然
A recent trend in Bayesian research has been revisiting generalizations of the likelihood that enable Bayesian inference without requiring the specification of a data generating mechanism. This article focuses on a Bayesian nonparametric extension of Wedderburn’s quasi-likelihood, using Bayesian additive regression trees to model the mean function. Here, the analyst posits only a structural relationship between the mean and variance of the outcome. We show that this approach…
用于文本分析的稳健机器学习算法
We study the Latent Dirichlet Allocation model, a popular Bayesian algorithm for text analysis. We show that the model's parameters are not identified, which suggests that the choice of prior matters. We characterize the range of values that the posterior mean of a given functional of the model's parameters can attain in response to a change in the prior, and we suggest two algorithms that report this range. Both of our algorithms rely on obtaining multiple Nonnegative…
CIMTx:利用观测数据进行多处理因果推断的 R 包
CIMTx provides efficient and unified functions to implement modern methods for causal inferences with multiple treatments using observational data with a focus on binary outcomes. The methods include regression adjustment, inverse probability of treatment weighting, Bayesian additive regression trees, regression adjustment with multivariate spline of the generalized propensity score, vector matching and targeted maximum likelihood estimation. In addition, CIMTx illustrates…
社群识别中均值场变分推断的理论与计算保证
The mean field variational Bayes method is becoming increasingly popular in statistics and machine learning. Its iterative coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm has been widely applied to large scale Bayesian inference. See Blei et al. (2017) for a recent comprehensive review. Despite the popularity of the mean field method, there exist remarkably little fundamental theoretical justifications. To the best of our knowledge, the iterative algorithm has never been…