The generalized lower triangular process prior
广义下三角过程先验AI 解读 ↓
本页整理公开书目信息,不生成学术质量评分。AI 解读根据题名及所注明的摘要或原文片段生成,未完成全文核验,可能有误;具体假设、证明与结论请核对原文。摘要保留来源文本,未经模型改写。
DOI 首次登记不等于接收或发表日期。部分更正、评论等条目没有独立摘要;缺少可靠材料时保留待补状态。
本页为预印本版本;arXiv 收录、作者填写的期刊信息以及作者既有发表经历,都不单独证明本篇已接收。作者发表记录按 OpenAlex 身份与完整姓名、本站覆盖期刊 ISSN 及正式卷期核对,只展示已核实例,档案仍可能误合并。
引用量采用 OpenAlex 单条关联记录,不合计多个记录;关联记录可能包含正式发表版本,不等于此版本单独引用。缺失不视为零,引用指标不代表论文质量。
关注作者按书目中的完整姓名匹配,同名和姓名变体需人工辨别。相关论文先按共享细分方向和具体方法排列,再参考通用方法与发表日期。
AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究一般多变量因子模型并应用于人格测试,没有宏观或金融因子领域的直接证据。
广义下三角过程先验AI 解读 ↓
正在核对关联版本…
正在核对对应版本的资源…
In the analysis of multivariate data, factor models represent a powerful technique for both reducing dimensionality and facilitating qualitative understanding of the latent determinants governing the observed data. Interpretability, however, is often hindered by the non-identifiability of factor loading matrices due to rotational invariance. A prevailing strategy to address this issue is to consider positive lower triangular structures. A relaxation of the latter condition has been recently proposed in the literature with the so called generalized lower triangular structure. However, its Bayesian implementation presents substantial challenges, requiring complex reversible-jump algorithms and making prior elicitation difficult because of the limited interpretability of the model parameters. In this paper, we introduce a generalized lower triangular process prior that allows both global and within-component sparsity structures for learning both the number of factors and possible sparsity structures within the vector of observations. The proposed approach provides straightforward prior parameters elicitation exploiting possibly different prior information on the rank and sparsity characteristics. We also explore connections with the Indian buffet process, providing further insight into the sparsity structure induced by the proposed prior. Posterior computation can be performed resorting to a Gibbs sampler with Metropolis-Hastings moves. The efficacy of the proposed method is demonstrated through comprehensive simulations and the analysis of the Big Five Personality Test data.
以层次聚类缓解观察性因果推断中的多重共线性
Multicollinearity is a long lasting challenge in observational causal inference, especially in regressions -- highly correlated independent variables make it hard to isolate their individual impacts on outcomes of interest. While common solutions such as shrinkage estimators and principal component regressions are helpful in prediction problems, a crucial limitation hinders their applicability to causal inference problems -- they cannot provide the original causal…
广义泊松动态网络模型
Count-weighted temporal networks often exhibit unequal dispersion in the edge weights, which cannot be fully explained by modelling observational heterogeneity through latent factors in the conditional mean. Therefore, we propose new dynamic network model classes exploiting the Generalized Poisson distribution to capture both under- and overdispersion. We consider three different dynamic specifications: latent factor dynamics, autoregressive dynamics, and latent position…
通过因子暴露映射对高维营养数据开展贝叶斯非参数因果推断
Diet plays a crucial role in health, and understanding the causal effects of dietary patterns is essential for informing public health policy and personalized nutrition strategies. However, causal inference in nutritional epidemiology faces several challenges: (i) high-dimensional and correlated food/nutrient intake data induce massive treatment levels; (ii) nutritional studies are interested in latent dietary patterns rather than single food items; and (iii) the goal is to…
投影贝叶斯空间因子模型
Factor models balance flexibility, identifiability, and computational efficiency, with Bayesian spatial factor models particularly prone to identifiability challenges and scaling limitations. This work introduces Projected Bayesian Spatial Factor (PBSF) models, a new class of models designed to achieve scalability and robust identifiability for spatial factor analysis. PBSF models are defined through a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo construction, Projected MCMC (ProjMC$^2$),…
打开黑箱:新加坡 GDP 增长的即时预测与可解释性
Timely assessment of current conditions is essential especially for small, open economies such as Singapore, where external shocks transmit rapidly to domestic activity. We develop a real-time nowcasting framework for quarterly GDP growth using a high-dimensional panel of approximately 70 indicators, encompassing economic and financial indicators over 1990Q1-2023Q2. The analysis covers penalized regressions, dimensionality-reduction methods, ensemble learning algorithms, and…
经济增长建模的贝叶斯方法:变量选择与截面依赖
This paper introduces a Bayesian framework designed to address two critical econometric challenges in empirical growth studies: variable selection and cross-sectional dependence. We first propose a growth regression model that incorporates cross-sectional dependence through a multi-factor structure and accounts for variable selection with sparse coefficients. We then introduce a new Bayesian Adaptive LASSO estimator specifically designed for this model, capable of performing…