Model Checking for Regressions Based on Weighted Residual Processes with Diverging Number of Predictors
预测变量个数发散时基于加权残差过程的回归模型检验AI 解读 ↓
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预测变量个数发散时基于加权残差过程的回归模型检验AI 解读 ↓
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The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor dimension diverges: in such regimes, the limiting null and alternative distributions of the ICM statistic degenerate to fixed constants. Moreover, when the number of predictors diverges, the commonly used wild bootstrap no longer approximates the null distribution of the ICM statistic well, leading to size distortion and substantial power loss. To address these challenges, we propose a new specification test based on weighted residual processes for evaluating the parametric form of the regression mean function in high-dimensional settings where the number of predictors increases with the sample size. We establish the asymptotic properties of the test statistic under the null hypothesis and under global and local alternatives. The proposed test maintains the nominal significance level and can detect local alternatives that deviate from the null hypothesis at the parametric rate $1/\sqrt{n}$. Furthermore, we propose a smooth residual bootstrap to approximate the limiting null distribution and establish its validity in high-dimensional settings. Two simulation studies and a real-data example are conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed test.
自适应 Lasso 解路径单位根检验的自助法改进
We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path unit root tests of Arnold and Reinschlüssel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to improve finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a generalised framework, allowing for non-stationary volatility. Numerical evidence shows the bootstrap to improve the tests' precision for error processes that promote spurious rejections of the unit root null, depending on the detrending procedure. The…
高维线性回归的统一谱分析:去偏与阈值化
We use spectral analysis to establish a unified theory of debiasing, thresholding, and simultaneous inference for high-dimensional linear regression with ill-conditioned designs. The methods include Ridge regression, spectral cut-off, and iterative and dynamical regression procedures. A common debiasing procedure uses two applications of the original linear algorithm with fixed parameters. Spectral analysis shows that debiasing squares the residual, while implementations…
聚类稳健的预测辅助推断
Data collection is often costly or logistically demanding, limiting both the questions researchers can pursue and how precisely they can answer them. Prediction-powered inference (PPI) can reduce the amount of data needed for precise parameter estimation by combining labeled data with machine learning predictions. However, ignoring dependence within clusters can produce confidence intervals that cover the true parameter less often than their nominal rate. We introduce…
Fridge:面向个体预测的岭回归聚焦调参
Statistical prediction methods typically require some form of fine-tuning of tuning parameter(s), with $K$-fold cross-validation as the canonical procedure. For ridge regression there exist numerous procedures, but common for all, including cross-validation, is that one single parameter is chosen for all future predictions. We propose instead to calculate a unique tuning parameter for each individual for which we wish to predict an outcome. This generates an individualized…
复杂调查设计下的函数型响应对标量协变量回归
Large health surveys increasingly collect high-dimensional functional data from wearable devices, and function on scalar regression (FoSR) is used to quantify the relationship between these functional outcomes and scalar covariates like age and sex. However, existing methods for FoSR fail to account for complex survey design. We introduce inferential methods for FoSR with complex survey designs. The approach combines fast univariate inference (FUI) developed for functional…
数据驱动亚组发现后标准试验估计量的推断
Data-driven subgroup identification is increasingly used in clinical trials, yet the effect reported for a discovered subgroup is typically the standard analysis: a Cox or generalized-linear-model treatment coefficient fitted within that subgroup. Selection by an effect-driven rule --- rewarding large estimated effects subject to screening and size criteria --- inflates the reported coefficient: a winner's curse invalidating naive intervals whether or not the identifier's…