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分类依据与纠错

AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要直接研究未测混杂下条件可分离效应的近端识别与估计。

反馈分类问题

正在核对关联版本…

代码、数据与补充材料

正在核对对应版本的资源…

关注这篇论文的作者
Chan Park
Mats Stensrud

条件可分离效应的近端因果推断

研究问题
当处理后事件与结果之间存在未测混杂时,如何识别并估计以该事件为条件的可分离效应,涵盖实验和观察研究?
方法与思路
作者利用隐藏共同原因的代理变量建立非参数识别,刻画半参数影响函数,并结合机器学习估计辅助函数与目标效应。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称方法允许时变混杂,给出改进的辅助函数收敛率,并构造一致、渐近线性及局部半参数有效的估计量。
阅读关注点
核对处理可分离的含义、代理变量所需条件、桥函数求解及识别要求,关注影响函数和效率结论对应的统计模型。
阅读边界
这是 arXiv 预印本,同行评审或接收未经核实。摘要未列出完整代理条件、收敛率和试验细节,代理变量存在本身不足以保证识别。

原文摘要

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the conditional separable effect (CSE) was proposed as an interventionist estimand that corresponds to scientifically meaningful questions in these settings. However, existing results for the CSE require no unmeasured confounding between the outcome and post-treatment event, an assumption frequently violated in practice. In this work, we address this concern by developing new identification and estimation results for the CSE that allow for unmeasured confounding. We establish nonparametric identification of the CSE in observational and experimental settings with time-varying confounders, provided that certain proxy variables for hidden common causes of the post-treatment event and outcome are available. For inference, we characterize an influence function for the CSE under a semiparametric model where nuisance functions are a priori unrestricted. Using modern machine learning methods, we construct nonparametric nuisance function estimators and establish convergence rates that improve upon existing results. Moreover, we develop a consistent, asymptotically linear, and locally semiparametric efficient estimator of the CSE. We illustrate our framework with simulation studies and a real-world cancer therapy trial.

笔记与分组