Testing stochastic dominance with many conditioning variables
具有大量条件变量的随机占优检验AI 解读 ↓
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具有大量条件变量的随机占优检验AI 解读 ↓
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We propose tests of the conditional first- and second-order stochastic dominance in the presence of growing numbers of covariates. Our approach builds on a semiparametric location-scale model, where the conditional distribution of the outcome given the covariates is characterized by nonparametric mean and skedastic functions with independent innovations from an unknown distribution. The nonparametric regression functions are estimated by utilizing the ℓ1-penalized nonparametric series estimation with thresholding. Deviation bounds for the regression functions and series coefficients estimates are obtained allowing for the time series dependence. We propose test statistics, which are the maximum (integrated) deviation of a composite of the estimated regression functions and the residual empirical distribution, and introduce a smooth stationary bootstrap to compute p-values. We investigate the finite sample performance of the bootstrap critical values by a set of Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, our method is illustrated by an application to stochastic dominance among portfolio returns given all the past information.
三次与线性平滑样条的分位数回归
Spline quantile regression (SQR) is a method introduced recently by Li and Megiddo (2026) for linear quantile regression where the regression coefficients are treated as smooth functions of the quantile level. With the coefficients represented by cubic splines with fixed knots on a given set of quantiles, the SQR method produces an estimate for the functional coefficients by solving a penalized quantile regression problem. The $\ell_1$-norm of the second derivatives of the…
使用非线性筛方法推断时间序列非参数条件矩限制
This paper studies estimation of and inference on dynamic nonparametric conditional moment restrictions of high dimensional variables for weakly dependent data, where the unknown functions of endogenous variables can be approximated via nonlinear sieves such as neural networks and Gaussian radial bases. The true unknown functions and their sieve approximations are allowed to be in general weighted function spaces with unbounded supports, which is important for time series…
含平稳协变量的分位数协整非参数推断
This paper considers the inference problems in nonlinear quantile regressions with both stationary and nonstationary covariates. The nonparametric local constant quantile estimator is proposed to estimate the unknown quantile regression function, whose asymptotic properties are established under quite general conditions. Specification testing of the quantile regression function is further considered through a statistic constructed based on the integrated squared distance…
时间序列分位数回归的平滑分块自助法
Quantile regression allows for broad (conditional) characterizations of a response distribution beyond conditional means and is of increasing interest in economic and financial applications. Because quantile regression estimators have complex limiting distributions, several bootstrap methods for the independent data setting have been proposed, many of which involve smoothing steps to improve bootstrap approximations. Currently, no similar advances in smoothed bootstraps…
时变系数分位数回归的非参数推断
The article considers nonparametric inference for quantile regression models with time-varying coefficients. The errors and covariates of the regression are assumed to belong to a general class of locally stationary processes and are allowed to be cross-dependent. Simultaneous confidence tubes (SCTs) and integrated squared difference tests (ISDTs) are proposed for simultaneous nonparametric inference of the latter models with asymptotically correct coverage probabilities and…
自回归分布滞后框架中的分位数协整
Xiao (2009) develops a novel estimation technique for quantile cointegrated time series by extending Phillips and Hansen’s (1990) semiparametric approach and Saikkonen’s (1991) parametrically augmented approach. This paper extends Pesaran and Shin’s (1998) autoregressive distributed-lag approach into quantile regression by jointly analyzing short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships across a range of quantiles. We derive the asymptotic theory and provide a…