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关注这篇论文的作者
Eleanor Sanderson
Frank Windmeijer

多内生变量线性工具变量模型的弱工具F检验

研究问题
当多个内生变量的约化式系数矩阵接近降低一个秩,而非整体接近零时,怎样诊断弱工具并理解其对估计和检验的影响?
方法与思路
作者研究条件第一阶段F统计量,修正特定非零比例关系下分母的方差,并比较其与Cragg–Donald最小特征值秩检验。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称修正后的条件F统计量与相应秩检验等价,并能提供2SLS相对偏差和Wald尺寸失真信息;部分情形还有额外诊断价值。
阅读关注点
应核对近降秩的渐近路径、方差修正公式、统计量等价关系的范围,以及各条件F统计量如何对应偏差和检验失真。
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原文摘要

We consider testing for weak instruments in a model with multiple endogenous variables. Unlike Stock and Yogo (2005), who considered a weak instruments problem where the rank of the matrix of reduced form parameters is near zero, here we consider a weak instruments problem of a near rank reduction of one in the matrix of reduced form parameters. For example, in a two-variable model, we consider weak instrument asymptotics of the form π1=δπ2+c/n where π1 and π2 are the parameters in the two reduced-form equations, c is a vector of constants and n is the sample size. We investigate the use of a conditional first-stage F-statistic along the lines of the proposal by Angrist and Pischke (2009) and show that, unless δ=0, the variance in the denominator of their F-statistic needs to be adjusted in order to get a correct asymptotic distribution when testing the hypothesis H0:π1=δπ2. We show that a corrected conditional F-statistic is equivalent to the Cragg and Donald (1993) minimum eigenvalue rank test statistic, and is informative about the maximum total relative bias of the 2SLS estimator and the Wald tests size distortions. When δ=0 in the two-variable model, or when there are more than two endogenous variables, further information over and above the Cragg–Donald statistic can be obtained about the nature of the weak instrument problem by computing the conditional first-stage F-statistics.

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