Towards more plausible point-identifying assumptions in two-sample Mendelian randomization
两样本孟德尔随机化中更具可信度的点识别假设AI 解读 ↓
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两样本孟德尔随机化中更具可信度的点识别假设AI 解读 ↓
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Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) is a widely applied methodology in epidemiology. In two-sample MR, summary data (typically, regression coefficients and standard errors) quantifying the association between multiple genetic variants and the exposure and the outcome are used in an instrumental variable framework aimed at estimating the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome. Most two-sample MR methods were developed under data-generating models where the association of for each candidate genetic instrument with the exposure, as well as the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome, are constant in the additive scale. These assumptions are useful because they imply that, had all genetic variants been valid IVs, they would all estimate the same causal parameter - namely, the constant causal effect. We refer to this condition as summary-level homogeneity. However, these are rather strong homogeneity conditions which may raise concerns about the plausibility of these methods in practice. In this paper, we show that summary-level homogeneity is implied by the following conditions: the causal effect is additive linear, but not necessarily constant across, all strata of the population; and uncorrelatedness between heterogeneity in the causal effect and in the association between each genetic variant and the exposure. Under these conditions, typical two-sample MR methods can be interpreted as estimators of the average causal effect. These results clarify that point-identifying assumptions required for two-sample MR methods are weaker than previously anticipated, which contributes to their plausibility and interpretation in at least some practical applications.
Two frequent approaches for identifying structural VARs are external instruments, which carry economic content but are often weak, and non-Gaussianity of the shocks, which provides statistical identification but carries no economic meaning. We combine the two strategies in a single generalized method of moments framework. This hybrid approach point-identifies the target shocks while also identifying the non-target shocks up to sign and ordering. Under suitable rank…
IV-LASSO 的工具变量字典与惩罚选择
Estimating the first stage of an instrumental variables (IV) model with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) requires choosing a dictionary of technical instruments and a penalty level. First-order asymptotic theory offers no guidance on these choices, as any consistent implementation yields a structural parameter estimator with the same limiting distribution. In finite samples, however, these choices can have a substantial impact on the resulting…
嵌套工具变量分析:转换者平均处理效应及可推广性
Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects from non-randomized data. A canonical example is a randomized trial with noncompliance, in which the randomized treatment assignment serves as an IV for the non-ignorable treatment received. Under a monotonicity assumption, a valid IV nonparametrically identifies the average treatment effect among a latent complier subgroup, whose generalizability is often under debate. In many studies, there exist…
借助知识迁移增强代表性不足子群体的工具变量分析
Instrumental variable (IV) analysis in underrepresented target populations suffers from low statistical efficiency and weak IV bias due to limited sample size. Leveraging external knowledge from a source population with larger samples offers an appealing solution to this problem. We propose in this paper the KNowledge-powered IV Estimator for underrepresented Subpopulations (KNIVES), a framework that enhances the IV analysis for underrepresented subpopulations by…
Instrumental variable (IV) methods mitigate bias from unobserved confounding in observational causal inference but rely on the availability of a valid instrument, which can often be difficult or infeasible to identify in practice. In this paper, we propose a representation learning approach that constructs instrumental representations from observed covariates, which could enable IV-based estimation even in the absence of an explicit instrument. Our model (ZNet) achieves this…
全正编码下的 INSIDE 假设:解释与部分经验评估
Mendelian randomisation (MR) implemented through instrumental variable (IV) analysis is a popular strategy for strengthening causal inference in observational studies. A key assumption for several MR estimators, including MR-Egger regression, is the INstrument Strength Independent of Direct Effect (INSIDE) assumption. However, there is no established empirical test for assessing the plausibility of this assumption. Moreover, INSIDE depends on how genetic variants are coded…