Asymptotic Efficiency of Estimators of Functionals of Mixed Distributions
混合分布泛函估计量的渐近效率AI 解读 ↓
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混合分布泛函估计量的渐近效率AI 解读 ↓
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Suppose $F$ is a mixture of a known parametric family of distributions with an unknown nonparametric mixing distribution. Consider the problem of estimating the value $T(dF)$ of a smooth functional $T$ at the mixed distribution $F$. One nonparametric estimator of $T(dF)$ is $T(dF_n)$ where $F_n$ denotes the empirical distribution. Under a differentiability condition on $T$ given in this note, $T(dF_n)$ is shown to be fully efficient asymptotically in the sense that the limiting distribution of any other estimator of $T(dF)$ that is regular in the sense of Hajek and Beran can be expressed as a convolution of the limiting normal distribution of $T(dF_n)$ with another distribution. The differentiability condition is verified for the case that the parametric family being mixed is a one-parameter exponential family and the support of the mixing distribution is an infinite set with a finite accumulation point. Regularity is verified for the maximum likelihood estimator of the probability of zero in a mixed Poisson distribution under certain conditions on the mixing distribution. Moreover, the maximum likelihood estimator and the sample proportion of zeroes are both shown to be fully efficient in this example.
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RBF 核高斯过程最大似然估计的精确渐近理论
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靶向深度生存对比:神经网络下处理特定生存收益的有效推断
Neural survival models are increasingly asked to support counterfactual claims---how much a treatment would change survival in a population---rather than only prognostic risk scores. Answering such questions from observational data requires valid inference for treatment-specific survival contrasts under confounding and covariate-dependent censoring, targets for which standard deep survival estimators are biased and provide no honest uncertainty. We propose Targeted Deep…