UNIFORM INFERENCE FOR NONPARAMETRIC PANEL MODELS WITH FIXED EFFECTS
固定效应非参数面板模型的一致推断AI 解读 ↓
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固定效应非参数面板模型的一致推断AI 解读 ↓
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This article studies uniform inference on a function $g(\cdot )$ and its functionals in a nonparametric panel data model with fixed effects. The nonparametric panel model relaxes restrictions on time-series behavior by allowing for arbitrary types of stationary or nonstationary dependence (e.g., stationary mixingale, mildly stationary, or local-to-unity process). After removing the fixed effects via transformations, a sieve estimator is proposed, accompanied by Yurinskii’s coupling principle of Gaussian processes and uniform confidence bands (UCBs) that rely on the sieve score bootstrap method to test for linear functionals of $g(\cdot )$ . Under the asymptotic framework of an increasing cross-sectional dimension and either a fixed or diverging time dimension, we prove that the bootstrapping Kolmogorov–Smirnov (sup-type) test has asymptotic uniform size controls. This article shows that our uniform inference procedure can be extended to the two-way fixed-effects nonparametric panel model with stationary mixingale regressors. Extensive simulations confirm that our sieve estimators and their UCBs work well in finite samples. The present article further applies the above methods to empirical settings and finds some interesting results in nonlinear patterns of consumption concerning income shocks and asset holdings.
因果状态依赖局部投影
State-dependent local projections (LPs) are widely used to study how causal effects vary as a function of economic states, but shock exogeneity alone does not identify this response function. We show that identification follows when the underlying conditional mean is linear in the shock with a state-dependent coefficient, a condition satisfied in canonical micro-macro environments, including first-order perturbation solutions of heterogeneous-agent and macro-finance models.…
双重稳健的交错双重差分组别—时期条件平均处理效应一致置信带
We consider a panel data analysis to examine the heterogeneity in treatment effects with respect to groups, periods, and a pre-treatment covariate of interest in the staggered difference-in-differences setting of Callaway and Sant’Anna. Under standard identification conditions, a doubly robust estimand conditional on the covariate identifies the group-time conditional average treatment effect given the covariate. Focusing on the case of a continuous covariate, we propose a…
双重差分中组别—时期条件平均处理效应的双重稳健一致置信带
We consider a panel data analysis to examine the heterogeneity in treatment effects with respect to groups, periods, and a pre-treatment covariate of interest in the staggered difference-in-differences setting of Callaway and Sant'Anna (2021). Under standard identification conditions, a doubly robust estimand conditional on the covariate identifies the group-time conditional average treatment effect given the covariate. Focusing on the case of a continuous covariate, we…
部分线性时变系数空间自回归面板模型的统计推断
This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares estimation method based on profile local linear dummy variables (2SLS-PLLDV) is proposed to estimate both constant and time-varying coefficients without the need for first differencing. The asymptotic properties of the estimator are derived…
时变系数面板模型的设定检验
This paper provides nonparametric specification tests for the commonly used homogeneous and stable coefficients structures in panel data models. We first obtain the augmented residuals by estimating the model under the null hypothesis and then run auxiliary time series regressions of augmented residuals on covariates with time-varying coefficients (TVCs) via sieve methods. The test statistic is then constructed by averaging the squared fitted values, which are close to zero…
使用 mgcv 估计半参数与非参数固定效应面板模型
This paper provides a practical guide to estimating semiparametric and nonparametric fixed-effects panel data models using the mgcv package in R. The focus is implementation: handling fixed effects with unit indicators, first differencing, or penalized unit effects; specifying smooth terms; and conducting cluster-robust inference. Monte Carlo experiments compare \code{mgcv::bam} estimators with linear and fixed-series spline estimators. Simulations suggest that penalized…