Bayesian Phase I/II Biomarker-Based Dose Finding for Precision Medicine With Molecularly Targeted Agents
精准医疗中基于生物标志物的贝叶斯Ⅰ/Ⅱ期剂量探索AI 解读 ↓
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精准医疗中基于生物标志物的贝叶斯Ⅰ/Ⅱ期剂量探索AI 解读 ↓
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Beibei Guoa* & Ying Yuanba Department of Experimental Statistics, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LAb Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TXCONTACT Beibei Guo beibeiguo@lsu.edu Department of Experimental Statistics, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803Color versions of one or more of the figures in the article can be found online at www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.Supplementary materials for this article are available online. Please go to www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.ABSTRACTThe optimal dose for treating patients with a molecularly targeted agent may differ according to the patient's individual characteristics, such as biomarker status. In this article, we propose a Bayesian phase I/II dose-finding design to find the optimal dose that is personalized for each patient according to his/her biomarker status. To overcome the curse of dimensionality caused by the relatively large number of biomarkers and their interactions with the dose, we employ canonical partial least squares (CPLS) to extract a small number of components from the covariate matrix containing the dose, biomarkers, and dose-by-biomarker interactions. Using these components as the covariates, we model the ordinal toxicity and efficacy using the latent-variable approach. Our model accounts for important features of molecularly targeted agents. We quantify the desirability of the dose using a utility function and propose a two-stage dose-finding algorithm to find the personalized optimal dose according to each patient's individual biomarker profile. Simulation studies show that our proposed design has good operating characteristics, with a high probability of identifying the personalized optimal dose. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.