Estimation in the Semiparametric Accelerated Failure Time Model With Missing Covariates: Improving Efficiency Through Augmentation
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缺失协变量下半参数加速失效时间模型的增广估计AI 解读 ↓
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This paper considers linear regression with missing covariates and a right censored outcome. We first consider a general two-phase outcome sampling design, where full covariate information is only ascertained for subjects in phase two and sampling occurs under an independent Bernoulli sampling scheme with known subject-specific sampling probabilities that depend on phase one information (e.g., survival time, failure status and covariates). The semiparametric information bound is derived for estimating the regression parameter in this setting. We also introduce a more practical class of augmented estimators that is shown to improve asymptotic efficiency over simple but inefficient inverse probability of sampling weighted estimators. Estimation for known sampling weights and extensions to the case of estimated sampling weights are both considered. The allowance for estimated sampling weights permits covariates to be missing at random according to a monotone but unknown mechanism. The asymptotic properties of the augmented estimators are derived and simulation results demonstrate substantial efficiency improvements over simpler inverse probability of sampling weighted estimators in the indicated settings. With suitable modification, the proposed methodology can also be used to improve augmented estimators previously used for missing covariates in a Cox regression model.
We develop a semiparametric continuous time inferential framework for testing cumulative treatment effects, including both immediate and carryover effects. The latent state process is modeled by an ordinary differential equation (ODE) whose drift depends on state and treatment, while the observed data are noisy measurements of this latent state at irregular, multi resolution time points. We define the average treatment effect (ATE) as the difference of expected cumulative…
This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set - a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with every possible prior - and uniformly expand it by a Kullback-Leibler radius to accommodate likelihood misspecification. We show that optimal decisions under this framework are equivalent to minimax decisions with an exponentially tilted loss…
嵌套工具变量分析:转换者平均处理效应及可推广性
Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects from non-randomized data. A canonical example is a randomized trial with noncompliance, in which the randomized treatment assignment serves as an IV for the non-ignorable treatment received. Under a monotonicity assumption, a valid IV nonparametrically identifies the average treatment effect among a latent complier subgroup, whose generalizability is often under debate. In many studies, there exist…
We study nonparametric inference for a continuous-treatment causal dose-response curve and its first derivative under unmeasured confounding, using treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies. We establish a proximal doubly robust pseudo-outcome whose conditional mean given treatment equals the dose-response curve whenever either bridge function is correctly specified. Their (smoothed) efficient influence function representations lead to cross-fitted local-polynomial estimators…
针对协变量完全缺失的增广迁移回归学习
Abstract Large-scale population-level datasets, such as the UK Biobank and the All of Us Research Program, often lack covariates needed for a specific analysis, such as genetic or lifestyle measures, while related studies measure them. This creates a cross-population missing-data problem in which covariates are completely unobserved in the target population, rather than partially missing within one dataset. We propose an augmented transfer regression learning method for this…
前门模型下因果效应的灵活非参数推断
Abstract Evaluating causal treatment effects in observational studies requires addressing confounding. While the back-door criterion enables identification through adjustment for observed covariates, it fails in the presence of unmeasured confounding. The front-door criterion offers an alternative by leveraging variables that fully mediate the treatment effect and are unaffected by unmeasured confounders of the treatment-outcome pair. We develop novel one-step and targeted…