Bayesian Analysis of Error Components Regression Models
误差分量回归模型的贝叶斯分析AI 解读 ↓
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误差分量回归模型的贝叶斯分析AI 解读 ↓
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This article examines the use of a two-way, random-effects, model with correlated errors and additional explanatory variables in combining cross-section with time series data. This model has been analyzed from a Bayesian viewpoint. Methods are developed for computing posterior distributions of slope coefficients. The advantage of our approach over sampling theory approaches is briefly discussed. It has been shown how one can obtain reasonable inferences about slope coefficients which are the parameters of interest, in the presence of nonestimable nuisance parameters by judicious use of sample and prior information.
多变量纵向数据的向量藤 Copula 模型
Multivariate longitudinal data may exhibit non-Gaussian margins, nonlinear dynamics, and response vectors with composition that varies across waves. To account for these features, we introduce a vector drawable vine (VD-vine) copula that extends conventional drawable vine copulas from scalar to vector-valued nodes. Here, the response vector at each wave forms a multivariate marginal, and serial dependence is captured through a sequence of linking vector copulas. We establish…
动态空间贝叶斯机器学习:美国代际流动与地理收入不平等应用
We develop a Dynamic Spatial Panel Bayesian Additive Regression Trees model with Horseshoe shrinkage (DSP-BART-HS) for high-dimensional spatio-temporal panel data. We jointly evaluate the model against a comprehensive suite of structural spatial econometrics, non-parametric machine learning methods, and small-area estimators across nine data-generating scenarios spanning 200 replicates each, including irregular spatial topologies, dense policy effects, and non-linear…
用于时间序列截面数据因果推断的贝叶斯倾向得分增强潜因子模型
We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings, while the outcome model flexibly incorporates the propensity score, for example through stratification. Relative to existing approaches, the proposed method provides greater flexibility and captures additional heterogeneity across…
存在溢出效应的合成控制方法:识别与贝叶斯推断
The synthetic control method (SCM) is widely used for causal inference with panel data, particularly when the number of treated units is small. It relies on the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA), ruling out spillover effects. However, interventions often affect not only treated but also untreated units. This study proposes a novel panel data method that extends standard SCM to account for spillovers and estimate both treatment and spillover effects. The approach…
动态潜在类别结构方程模型:密集纵向数据建模实操教程
In this tutorial, we provide a hands-on guideline on how to implement complex Dynamic Latent Class Structural Equation Models (DLCSEM) in the Bayesian software JAGS. We provide building blocks starting with simple Confirmatory Factor and Time Series analysis, and then extend these blocks to Multilevel Models and Dynamic Structural Equation Models (DSEM). Subsequently, we introduce Hidden Markov Switching Models (HMSM) and demonstrate their integration with DSEM to yield…
dynamite:用于动态多变量面板模型的 R 包
dynamite is an R package for Bayesian inference of intensive panel (time series) data comprising multiple measurements per multiple individuals measured in time. The package supports joint modeling of multiple response variables, time-varying and time-invariant effects, a wide range of discrete and continuous distributions, group-specific random effects, latent factors, and customization of prior distributions of the model parameters. Models in the package are defined via a…