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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要关注广义线性模型中的通用贝叶斯模型选择,未限定离散选择或其他经济学模型,无法据此确定所列细分方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Yingbo Li
Merlise A. Clyde

广义线性模型中的 g 先验混合

研究问题
如何在广义线性模型中统一不同的 g 先验混合方案,并分析混合分布及超参数选择对贝叶斯变量选择和模型平均的影响?
方法与思路
作者以截断复合合流超几何分布统一多种先验,结合积分拉普拉斯近似获得近似边际似然,并构造模型选择准则。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,该框架包含多种已有先验作为特例,并讨论模型选择一致性等性质如何支持先验与超参数选择,辅以模拟和实例。
阅读关注点
应核对先验的局部几何解释、拉普拉斯近似精度,以及不同先验特例的参数对应和各项一致性性质所需的条件。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明,不能推断刊本变化;具体超参数建议、近似误差和比较结果未说明,不能推断所有特例均满足所述性质。

原文摘要

Mixtures of Zellner’s g-priors have been studied extensively in linear models and have been shown to have numerous desirable properties for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging. Several extensions of g-priors to generalized linear models (GLMs) have been proposed in the literature; however, the choice of prior distribution of g and resulting properties for inference have received considerably less attention. In this article, we unify mixtures of g-priors in GLMs by assigning the truncated Compound Confluent Hypergeometric (tCCH) distribution to 1/(1 + g), which encompasses as special cases several mixtures of g-priors in the literature, such as the hyper-g, Beta-prime, truncated Gamma, incomplete inverse-Gamma, benchmark, robust, hyper-g/n, and intrinsic priors. Through an integrated Laplace approximation, the posterior distribution of 1/(1 + g) is in turn a tCCH distribution, and approximate marginal likelihoods are thus available analytically, leading to “Compound Hypergeometric Information Criteria” for model selection. We discuss the local geometric properties of the g-prior in GLMs and show how the desiderata for model selection proposed by Bayarri et al., such as asymptotic model selection consistency, intrinsic consistency, and measurement invariance may be used to justify the prior and specific choices of the hyper parameters. We illustrate inference using these priors and contrast them to other approaches via simulation and real data examples. The methodology is implemented in the R package BAS and freely available on CRAN. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

笔记与分组
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