Estimating unrestricted spatial interdependence in panel spatial autoregressive models with latent common factors
含潜在共同因子的面板空间自回归模型:无预设空间结构的相互依赖估计AI 解读 ↓
本页整理公开书目信息,不生成学术质量评分。AI 解读根据题名及所注明的摘要或原文片段生成,未完成全文核验,可能有误;具体假设、证明与结论请核对原文。摘要保留来源文本,未经模型改写。
DOI 首次登记不等于接收或发表日期。部分更正、评论等条目没有独立摘要;缺少可靠材料时保留待补状态。
本页为预印本版本;arXiv 收录、作者填写的期刊信息以及作者既有发表经历,都不单独证明本篇已接收。作者发表记录按 OpenAlex 身份与完整姓名、本站覆盖期刊 ISSN 及正式卷期核对,只展示已核实例,档案仍可能误合并。
引用量采用 OpenAlex 单条关联记录,不合计多个记录;关联记录可能包含正式发表版本,不等于此版本单独引用。缺失不视为零,引用指标不代表论文质量。
关注作者按书目中的完整姓名匹配,同名和姓名变体需人工辨别。相关论文先按共享细分方向和具体方法排列,再参考通用方法与发表日期。
AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究含潜在共同因子的面板模型,并以欧盟地区增加值增长率作为宏观应用。
含潜在共同因子的面板空间自回归模型:无预设空间结构的相互依赖估计AI 解读 ↓
正在核对关联版本…
正在核对对应版本的资源…
We develop a new Bayesian approach to estimating panel spatial autoregressive models with a known number of latent common factors, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods. Without imposing any a priori structures on the spatial linkages between variables, we let the data speak for themselves. Extensive Monte Carlo studies show that our method is super-fast and our estimated spatial weights matrices and common factors strongly resemble their true counterparts. As an illustration, we examine the spatial interdependence of regional gross value added (GVA) growth rates across the European Union (EU). In addition to revealing the clear presence of predominant country-level clusters, our results indicate that only a small portion of the variation in the data is explained by the latent shocks that are uncorrelated with the explanatory variables.
什么解释了国际利率的共同变动?
ABSTRACT The international co‐movement of interest rates reflects correlated business‐cycle fluctuations, largely driven by demand shocks. Monetary policy in advanced economies follows domestic mandates—inflation and the output gap—and does not respond to foreign policy shocks. We derive this result from a Bayesian structural panel vector autoregression with informative priors, homogeneity restrictions on contemporaneous relations, a hierarchical Minnesota prior with…
重审产出收敛争论:面板数据模型分析新进展的启示
This paper provides a critical examination of the empirical basis of the output convergence debate in the light of recent developments in the analysis of dynamic heterogeneous panels with interactive effects. It shows that popular tools such as Barro's cross-country regressions and two-way fixed effects (TWFE) estimators that assume parallel trends and homogeneous dynamics lead to substantial under-estimation of the speed of convergence and misleading inference. Instead,…
条件线性的矩阵正态状态空间模型
We develop a class of linear state space models for matrix-valued time series data where the state is a latent matrix normal process. We derive matrix versions of the Kalman filter, log-likelihood, and smoother enabling estimation of the latent state matrix as well as the model's parameters. To conduct Bayesian inference, we provide algorithms that draw from the joint posterior distribution of the latent state matrices conditional on the observed data and parameters. We…
多重结构突变与多因子误差下空间面板模型的收缩估计
This study investigates spatial panel data models with a multifactor error structure and multiple structural breaks occurring in the coefficients of both spatial lagged and explanatory variables. While extensive research has addressed cross-sectional dependence in panel data, including approaches that integrate spatial and factor structures within a single framework, few studies account for time-varying model parameters and achieving consistent estimation remains a…
利用多国非参数分位数因子模型研究增长风险
We develop a nonparametric quantile panel regression model.Within each quantile, the quantile function is a combination of linear and nonlinear parts, which we approximate using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART).Cross-sectional information is captured through a conditionally heteroscedastic latent factor.The nonparametric feature enhances flexibility, while the panel feature increases the number of observations in the tails.We develop Bayesian methods for inference…
基于截面相关面板的即时预测
Summary This paper builds a mixed‐frequency panel data model for nowcasting economic variables across many countries. The model extends the mixed‐frequency panel vector autoregression (MF‐PVAR) to allow for heterogeneous coefficients and a multifactor error structure to model cross‐sectional dependence. We propose a modified common correlated effects (CCE) estimation technique which performs well in simulations. The model is applied in two distinct settings: nowcasting gross…