Identification and Estimation of Semiparametric Multilayered Sample Selection Models
半参数多层样本选择模型的识别与估计AI 解读 ↓
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半参数多层样本选择模型的识别与估计AI 解读 ↓
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Many selection problems are multilayered: agents first decide whether to participate and then sort among ordered or unordered categories. This paper shows that the sorting layer changes the geometry of identification. Unlike binary selection, in which selection bias can be summarized by a scalar control function, ordered and multinomial sorting generally produce multi-index control functions whose dimension determines the continuous covariate variation needed for identification. I establish matched non-identification and point-identification results for both architectures, showing how nonlinearity in the selection structure can substitute for excluded variables. I also show how additional structural restrictions reduce the control-function dimension and make estimation practical. I propose root-n-consistent two-step sieve plug-in estimators and apply the framework to gender wage gaps among Korean college graduates. Accounting for sorting reshapes the entry-level gap along the firm-size margin, where the corrected female coefficient turns positive for large-firm employment.
BLP 模型中的条件矩估计与推断
The random-coefficient demand model of Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) is commonly estimated by the generalized method of moments (GMM), using an unconditional moment restriction with a fixed set of instruments. Identification of the model, however, rests on a conditional moment restriction. The two are not equivalent: the unconditional restriction may admit additional parameter values. We construct a counterexample in which the model is identified by the conditional…
刻画精神障碍决策行为的半参数逆强化学习方法
Major depressive disorder (MDD) is one of the leading causes of disability-adjusted life years. Emerging evidence indicates the presence of reward processing abnormalities in MDD. An important scientific question is whether the abnormalities are due to reduced sensitivity to received rewards or reduced learning ability. Motivated by the probabilistic reward task (PRT) experiment in the EMBARC study, we propose a semiparametric inverse reinforcement learning (RL) approach to…
结构筛:以深度网络近似经济优化模型
This paper explores the use of deep neural networks for semiparametric estimation of economic models of maximizing behavior in production or discrete choice. We argue that certain deep networks are particularly well suited as a nonparametric sieve to approximate regression functions that result from nonlinear latent variable models of continuous or discrete optimization. Multi-stage models of this type will typically generate rich interaction effects between regressors…
离线强化学习与逆强化学习讲义(二):逆强化学习与动态离散选择基础
In the forward reinforcement-learning problem, the reward is fixed and known; the learner is asked to find a good policy or value function. Here we turn the question around. Given offline data generated by an expert, can we recover the reward the expert was optimizing? This is the inverse reinforcement learning problem, and remarkably, two communities, structural econometricians studying dynamic discrete choice (DDC) and machine learners studying entropy-regularized IRL,…
动态离散选择模型中折现因子与收益函数的半参数识别
This paper investigates how the discount factor and payoff functions can be identified in stationary infinite-horizon dynamic discrete choice models. In single-agent models, we show that common nonparametric assumptions on per-period payoffs -- such as homogeneity of degree one, monotonicity, concavity, zero cross-differences, and complementarity -- provide identifying restrictions on the discount factor. These restrictions take the form of polynomial equalities and…
不完全信息离散选择模型中的识别
We study identification of preferences in static single-agent discrete choice models where decision makers may be imperfectly informed about the state of the world. Leveraging the notion of one-player Bayes Correlated Equilibrium by Bergemann and Morris (2016), we provide a tractable characterisation of the sharp identified set. We develop a procedure to practically construct the sharp identified set following a sieve approach, and provide sharp bounds on counterfactual…