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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确讨论无未测混杂假设、逆概率加权及因果效应的敏感性分析。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Qingyuan Zhao
Dylan S. Small

通过百分位自助法对逆概率加权估计进行敏感性分析

研究问题
当随机缺失或无未测混杂假设受到一定程度违反时,如何为逆概率加权估计构造具有覆盖保证的敏感性区间?
方法与思路
作者采用边际敏感性模型,结合百分位bootstrap和广义极小极大不等式,将区间构造转化为线性分式规划问题。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,在相应敏感性模型集合内,目标区间渐近具有至少名义覆盖率,并以鱼类消费对血汞水平的因果效应作示例。
阅读关注点
应核对敏感性参数的含义、模型允许的假设偏离,以及bootstrap覆盖保证的正则条件和线性分式规划的约束。
阅读边界
仅依据所给Crossref摘要;覆盖保证是渐近且依赖敏感性模型,不能验证无未测混杂,也不能认定已涵盖所有可能偏差。

原文摘要

Summary To identify the estimand in missing data problems and observational studies, it is common to base the statistical estimation on the ‘missingness at random’ and ‘no unmeasured confounder’ assumptions. However, these assumptions are unverifiable by using empirical data and pose serious threats to the validity of the qualitative conclusions of statistical inference. A sensitivity analysis asks how the conclusions may change if the unverifiable assumptions are violated to a certain degree. We consider a marginal sensitivity model which is a natural extension of Rosenbaum’s sensitivity model that is widely used for matched observational studies. We aim to construct confidence intervals based on inverse probability weighting estimators, such that asymptotically the intervals have at least nominal coverage of the estimand whenever the data-generating distribution is in the collection of marginal sensitivity models. We use a percentile bootstrap and a generalized minimax–maximin inequality to transform this intractable problem into a linear fractional programming problem, which can be solved very efficiently. We illustrate our method by using a real data set to estimate the causal effect of fish consumption on blood mercury level.

笔记与分组
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