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关注这篇论文的作者
Ye Yang

矩阵指数空间模型的 GMM 推断

研究问题
矩阵指数空间模型的两步 GMM 估计如何修正标准误、选择适当矩条件,并区分结果变量与扰动中的空间滞后?
方法与思路
作者修改两步估计的有限样本标准误修正,提出基于扰动分布的预检验和模型选择检验,并以模拟和房价应用考察表现。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,标准误修正改善小样本检验尺寸;预检验在异方差与解释变量相关时有效,结果变量的空间滞后较易检出。
阅读关注点
应核对第一阶段估计如何进入标准误修正、预检验的选择规则及其推断影响,并比较不同空间相关设定下的检验表现。
阅读边界
仅据所给 RePEc 出版社摘要,无法判断修正公式、预检验误选影响及数值改善幅度;房价应用的具体设定也未说明。

原文摘要

This paper offers hypothesis and specification tests for the best generalized methods of moment estimator (BGMME) of the matrix exponential spatial specification (MESS) developed by Debarsy et al. (2015). First, as the BGMME is a two-step estimator, we formulate corrected standard errors using a modified version of the finite sample correction method in Windmeijer (2005) that accounts for the fact that the BGMME makes more extensive use of the first-stage estimator than the GMM model analyzed by Windmeijer. Second, since the BGMME uses different moment conditions under normal, non-normal, and heteroskedastic disturbances, we propose a pretest strategy to determine which set of moment conditions is most suitable for the data at hand. Third, we consider and examine the performance of test statistics that help choose between MESS(1,1), MESS(1,0) and MESS(0,1) models. The performance of these tools is examined with Monte Carlo experiments, which also allow for varying degrees of spatial correlation in the explanatory variables. The correction in the standard errors is especially useful when the sample size is small, such as in a study with state-level, provincial or country-level data: the corrected standard errors improve statistical inference, yielding better size properties. The pretest strategy is effective when the heteroskedasticity, if present, is correlated with explanatory variables in the model. Spatial lags in the outcome variable are more easily detected than those in the disturbance. An empirical study of housing prices illustrates the new tools.

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