Efficient inference on fractionally integrated panel data models with fixed effects
分数单整固定效应面板模型的有效推断AI 解读 ↓
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分数单整固定效应面板模型的有效推断AI 解读 ↓
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A dynamic panel data model is considered that contains possibly stochastic individual components and a common stochastic time trend that allows for stationary and nonstationary long memory and general parametric short memory. We propose four different ways of coping with the individual effects so as to estimate the parameters. Like models with autoregressive dynamics, ours nests I(1) behaviour, but unlike the nonstandard asymptotics in the autoregressive case, estimates of the fractional parameter can be asymptotically normal. For three of the estimates, establishing this property is made difficult due to bias caused by the individual effects, or by the consequences of eliminating them, which appears in the central limit theorem except under stringent conditions on the growth of the cross-sectional size N relative to the time series length T, though in case of two estimates these can be relaxed by bias correction, where the biases depend only on the parameters describing autocorrelation. For the fourth estimate, there is no bias problem, and no restrictions on N. Implications for hypothesis testing and interval estimation are discussed, with central limit theorems for feasibly bias-corrected estimates included. A Monte Carlo study of finite-sample performance is included.
无限阶面板自回归过程的工具变量估计
We consider instrumental variables (IV) estimation of a possibly infinite order dynamic panel autoregressive (AR) process with individual effects. The estimation is based on the sieve AR approximation, with its lag order increasing with sample size. Transforming the variable to eliminate individual effects generates an endogeneity problem, particularly when the time series is only moderately long. IV approaches are useful to obtain well-behaved estimators in panels with…
具有不可观测分组异质性的面板自回归模型统一推断
This paper considers unified estimation and inference in panel autoregressive (PAR) models. The PAR coefficients are assumed to contain a latent group structure that allows the degree of persistence for each time series to be heterogeneous and unknown. We propose a novel penalized weighted least squares approach to simultaneously identify the unknown group membership and consistently estimate the PAR coefficients, regardless of whether the underlying PAR process is…
近单位根交互效应面板中的因子分析方法
In a recent study, Bai (2013) proposes a new factor analytical (FA) method for estimation of stationary dynamic panel data models with fixed effects. Our interest in this method originates with the fact it does not require explicit demeaning of the data, a practice that is known to cause problems of bias and low power in near unit root panels. The purpose is to study the properties of FA when applied to such panels when the common component admits to a interactive effects…
近单位根动态面板中的 Anderson–Hsiao 估计
Limit theory is developed for the dynamic panel IV estimator in the presence of an autoregressive root near unity. In the unit root case, Anderson–Hsiao lagged variable instruments satisfy orthogonality conditions but are well known to be irrelevant. For a fixed time series sample size ( T ) IV is inconsistent and approaches a shifted Cauchy-distributed random variate as the cross-section sample size n → ∞. But when T → ∞, either for fixed n or as n → ∞, IV is $\sqrt T$ consi…
一阶差分极大似然与动态面板估计
First difference maximum likelihood (FDML) seems an attractive estimation methodology in dynamic panel data modeling because differencing eliminates fixed effects and, in the case of a unit root, differencing transforms the data to stationarity, thereby addressing both incidental parameter problems and the possible effects of nonstationarity. This paper draws attention to certain pathologies that arise in the use of FDML that have gone unnoticed in the literature and that…
固定效应空间动态面板的估计:空间协整情形
Yu et al. (2008) establish asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for a stable spatial dynamic panel model with fixed effects when both the number of individuals n and the number of time periods T are large. This paper investigates unstable cases where there are unit roots generated by temporal and spatial correlations. We focus on the spatial cointegration model where some eigenvalues of the data generating process are equal to 1 and the outcomes of…