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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:近似因子模型仅是一般多重检验框架中的示例,摘要未提供将其归为宏观或金融因子研究的充分依据。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Jianqing Fan
Xu Han

未知依赖结构下的错误发现比例估计

研究问题
大规模多重检验中,统计量的依赖结构需要估计时,协方差估计误差如何影响错误发现比例的近似准确性?
方法与思路
作者分别分析特征值、特征向量与边际方差估计的影响,建立一般要求,并考察稀疏矩阵与近似因子模型等结构。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称建立未知依赖下近似错误发现比例的理论框架,给出满足要求的矩阵结构,并扩展至放松多元正态假设的情形。
阅读关注点
应核对谱估计和边际方差估计所需精度、稀疏与因子结构条件,以及放松正态性后近似结论的适用范围。
阅读边界
仅据所给Crossref摘要;具体误差界、维度与样本量关系未说明,不能认定任意估计依赖结构都能准确近似错误发现比例。

原文摘要

Summary Large-scale multiple testing with correlated test statistics arises frequently in much scientific research. Incorporating correlation information in approximating the false discovery proportion (FDP) has attracted increasing attention in recent years. When the covariance matrix of test statistics is known, Fan and his colleagues provided an accurate approximation of the FDP under arbitrary dependence structure and some sparsity assumption. However, the covariance matrix is often unknown in many applications and such dependence information must be estimated before approximating the FDP. The estimation accuracy can greatly affect the FDP approximation. In the current paper, we study theoretically the effect of unknown dependence on the testing procedure and establish a general framework such that the FDP can be well approximated. The effects of unknown dependence on approximating the FDP are in the following two major aspects: through estimating eigenvalues or eigenvectors and through estimating marginal variances. To address the challenges in these two aspects, we firstly develop general requirements on estimates of eigenvalues and eigenvectors for a good approximation of the FDP. We then give conditions on the structures of covariance matrices that satisfy such requirements. Such dependence structures include banded or sparse covariance matrices and (conditional) sparse precision matrices. Within this framework, we also consider a special example to illustrate our method where data are sampled from an approximate factor model, which encompasses most practical situations. We provide a good approximation of the FDP via exploiting this specific dependence structure. The results are further generalized to the situation where the multivariate normality assumption is relaxed. Our results are demonstrated by simulation studies and some real data applications.

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