A Data-Adaptive Factor Model Using Composite Quantile Approach
基于复合分位数的数据自适应因子模型AI 解读 ↓
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基于复合分位数的数据自适应因子模型AI 解读 ↓
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This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full distributional structure of the data, thereby enhancing estimation accuracy and revealing latent patterns that are invisible to conventional factor models. In this paper, we develop a practical algorithm for estimating DAFM by minimizing an objective function based on a weighted average of check functions across quantiles. We also establish the theoretical properties of the estimators, including their consistency and convergence rates. Furthermore, we derive their asymptotic distributions by introducing approximated estimators from a kernel-smoothed objective function, and propose two consistent methods for determining the number of factors. Simulation studies demonstrate that DAFM outperforms existing factor models across different data distributions, and real data analyses on volatility and forecasting further validate its effectiveness.
因子增广回归的分位数预测:结构不稳定性与模型不确定性
The quantile regression is an effective tool in modeling data with heterogeneous conditional distribution. This paper considers the time-varying coefficient quantile predictive regression with factor-augmented predictors, to capture smooth structural changes and incorporate high-dimensional data information in prediction simultaneously. Uniform consistency of the local linear quantile coefficient estimators is established under misspecification. To further improve the…
分位数因子模型
Quantile factor models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high‐dimensional panel data. Unlike approximate factor models (AFM), which only extract mean factors, QFM also allow unobserved factors to shift other relevant parts of the distributions of observables. We propose a quantile regression approach, labeled Quantile Factor Analysis (QFA), to consistently estimate all the quantile‐dependent factors and loadings. Their asymptotic distributions are established…
MCA:面向条件众数的高维众数成分分析
The modal factor model represents a novel statistical framework for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data analysis. It is specifically designed to capture modal factors which exert a significant influence on the conditional mode of the distribution of the observables. Statistical inference for this model is developed based on a newly proposed modal component analysis, where modal factors and their corresponding loadings are estimated through maximizing a…
众数因子分析:面向条件众数的高维降维方法
The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of the distribution of the observables. Statistical inference is developed with the aid of mode estimation, where the modal factors and the loadings are estimated through maximizing a kernel-type objective function. An easy-to-implement…
利用多国非参数分位数因子模型研究增长风险
We develop a nonparametric quantile panel regression model.Within each quantile, the quantile function is a combination of linear and nonlinear parts, which we approximate using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART).Cross-sectional information is captured through a conditionally heteroscedastic latent factor.The nonparametric feature enhances flexibility, while the panel feature increases the number of observations in the tails.We develop Bayesian methods for inference…
因子数增长时充分预测的非参数估计与共形推断
The sufficient forecasting (SF) provides a nonparametric procedure to estimate forecasting indices from high-dimensional predictors to forecast a single time series, allowing for the possibly nonlinear forecasting function. This article studies the asymptotic theory of the SF with a diverging number of factors and develops its predictive inference. First, we revisit the SF and explore its connections to Fama–MacBeth regression and partial least squares. Second, with a…