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分类依据与纠错

AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要的核心是非随机缺失结果的识别与估计;工具变量和因果推断类比不足以证明其目标属于所列因果效应方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Yunshu Zhang
Chan Park
Jiewen Liu
Yonghoon Lee
Mengxin Yu
James M. Robins

非随机缺失数据的乘法工具变量模型

研究问题
结果非随机缺失时,能否不预先限制结果尺度上的选择偏差程度,而借助工具变量和另一类选择机制限制实现识别?
方法与思路
作者要求工具变量预测不响应且与总体结果独立,并施加工具与隐藏共同因素在乘法尺度上无交互的选择模型。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,三项条件下可用单组 Wald 比率识别缺失结果的正则泛函,并据影响函数构造多重稳健估计器及工具变量扩展。
阅读关注点
应核对乘法无交互假设的含义、识别比率及必要分母条件、多重稳健性的模型组合,以及访员工具的有效性论证。
阅读边界
这是 arXiv 预印本,不能据此认定已同行评审或获期刊接收;不限制结果尺度偏差仍依赖选择模型,完整条件未说明。

原文摘要

Instrumental variable (IV) methods offer a valuable approach to account for outcome data missing not-at-random. A valid missing data instrument is a measured factor which (i) predicts the nonresponse process and (ii) is independent of the outcome in the underlying population. For point identification, all existing IV methods for missing data including the celebrated Heckman selection model, a priori restrict the extent of selection bias on the outcome scale, therefore potentially understating uncertainty due to missing data. In this work, we introduce an IV framework which allows the degree of selection bias on the outcome scale to remain completely unrestricted. The new approach instead relies for identification on (iii) a key multiplicative selection model, which posits that the instrument and any hidden common correlate of selection and the outcome, do not interact on the multiplicative scale. Interestingly, we establish that any regular statistical functional of the missing outcome is nonparametrically identified under (i)-(iii) via a single-arm Wald ratio estimand reminiscent of the standard Wald ratio estimand in causal inference. For estimation and inference, we characterize the influence function for any functional defined on a nonparametric model for the observed data, which we leverage to develop semiparametric multiply robust IV estimators. Several extensions of the methods are also considered, including the important practical setting of polytomous and continuous instruments. Simulation studies illustrate the favorable finite sample performance of proposed methods, which we further showcase in an HIV study nested within a household health survey study we conducted in Mochudi, Botswana, in which interviewer characteristics are used as instruments to correct for selection bias due to dependent nonresponse in the HIV component of the survey study.

笔记与分组
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