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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要直接研究多元 GARCH、金融收益平方的自相关及四阶矩,对应波动率与时间序列。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Changli He
Timo Teräsvirta

扩展的常条件相关 GARCH 模型及其四阶矩结构

研究问题
扩展常条件相关 GARCH 模型的四阶矩与平方观测自相关具有什么结构,低阶模型能否刻画金融收益中的多样动态?
方法与思路
作者研究既有常条件相关 GARCH 模型的一种扩展,推导一阶和二阶模型的平方观测自相关,并重新分析原模型论文中的实证例子。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称扩展模型具有丰富的平方观测自相关结构,一阶模型已可再现多种金融收益动态,并通过已有实例展示理论结果的用途。
阅读关注点
应核对四阶矩存在与自相关公式成立的条件、扩展模型的参数约束,以及实证例子如何将理论结构与收益数据联系起来。
阅读边界
仅据所给出版社摘要,无法判断矩条件、估计误差和实证拟合程度;摘要未提供具体数值,也不能据此推断其他版本变化。

原文摘要

The constant conditional correlation general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is among the most commonly applied multivariate GARCH models and serves as a benchmark against which other models can be compared. In this paper we consider an extension to this model and examine its fourth-moment structure. The extension, first defined by Jeantheau (1998, Econometric Theory 14, 70–86), is motivated by the result found and discussed in this paper that the squared observations from the extended model have a rich autocorrelation structure. This means that already the first-order model is capable of reproducing a whole variety of autocorrelation structures observed in financial return series. These autocorrelations are derived for the first- and the second-order constant conditional correlation GARCH model. The usefulness of the theoretical results of the paper is demonstrated by reconsidering an empirical example that appeared in the original paper on the constant conditional correlation GARCH model.This research has been supported by the Swedish Research Council of Humanities and Social Sciences and the Tore Browaldh's Foundation. A part of this work was carried out while the second author was visiting the School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney, whose kind hospitality is gratefully acknowledged. The paper has been presented at the Econometric Society European Meeting, Venice, August 2002. We thank participants for comments and two anonymous referees for their remarks. Any errors and shortcomings in the paper remain our own responsibility.

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