A Useful Empirical Bayes Identity
一个有用的经验贝叶斯恒等式AI 解读 ↓
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For any decision problem, one wishes to find that estimator which minimizes the expected loss. If the loss function is squared error, then the estimator is the mean of the Bayes posterior distribution. Unfortunately the prior distribution may be unknown, but in certain situations empirical Bayes methods can circumvent this problem by using past observations to estimate either the prior or the Bayes estimate directly. Empirical Bayes methods are particularly appealing when the Bayes estimate depends only on the marginal distribution of the observed variable, yielding what is known as a simple empirical Bayes estimate. The paper looks at the underlying circumstance of when a simple empirical Bayes estimator is available, and shows its occurrence not to be happenstance.