Adaptive estimation in structured factor models with applications to overlapping clustering
结构化因子模型的自适应估计及其在重叠聚类中的应用AI 解读 ↓
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结构化因子模型的自适应估计及其在重叠聚类中的应用AI 解读 ↓
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This work introduces a novel estimation method, called LOVE, of the entries and structure of a loading matrix $A$ in a latent factor model $X=AZ+E$, for an observable random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^{p}$, with correlated unobservable factors $Z\in \mathbb{R}^{K}$, with $K$ unknown, and uncorrelated noise $E$. Each row of $A$ is scaled, and allowed to be sparse. In order to identify the loading matrix $A$, we require the existence of pure variables, which are components of $X$ that are associated, via $A$, with one and only one latent factor. Despite the fact that the number of factors $K$, the number of the pure variables and their location are all unknown, we only require a mild condition on the covariance matrix of $Z$, and a minimum of only two pure variables per latent factor to show that $A$ is uniquely defined, up to signed permutations. Our proofs for model identifiability are constructive, and lead to our novel estimation method of the number of factors and of the set of pure variables, from a sample of size $n$ of observations on $X$. This is the first step of our LOVE algorithm, which is optimization-free, and has low computational complexity of order $p^{2}$. The second step of LOVE is an easily implementable linear program that estimates $A$. We prove that the resulting estimator is near minimax rate optimal for $A$, with respect to the $\|\ \|_{\infty ,q}$ loss, for $q\geq 1$, up to logarithmic factors in $p$, and that it can be minimax-rate optimal in many cases of interest. The model structure is motivated by the problem of overlapping variable clustering, ubiquitous in data science. We define the population level clusters as groups of those components of $X$ that are associated, via the matrix $A$, with the same unobservable latent factor, and multifactor association is allowed. Clusters are respectively anchored by the pure variables, and form overlapping subgroups of the $p$-dimensional random vector $X$. The Latent model approach to OVErlapping clustering is reflected in the name of our algorithm, LOVE. The third step of LOVE estimates the clusters from the support of the columns of the estimated $A$. We guarantee cluster recovery with zero false positive proportion, and with false negative proportion control. The practical relevance of LOVE is illustrated through the analysis of a RNA-seq data set, devoted to determining the functional annotation of genes with unknown function.
多层主效应矩阵因子模型
We propose a multilevel main effects matrix factor model (MMEFM) to extract meaningful row and column effects from groups of matrix data. As a generalization of a multilevel matrix factor model, we provide rigorous definitions of MMEFM and identifications, together with iterative algorithms for the estimators of all global and local components in the main effects and common component, including global/local main effects and core ranks, with rates of convergence spelt out. An…
矩阵值 CP 因子模型的识别问题与准极大似然估计
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高维近似因子时间序列模型的主成分分析:假设、渐近理论与识别
We consider estimation of large approximate factor models in high-dimensional panels of stationary time series using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We review the key results establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators, which hold when both the cross-sectional dimension $n$ and the sample size $T$ tend to infinity. Special emphasis is placed on identification. First, we show that the common and…
We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data arising from complex problem-solving items, an emerging type of data in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the classical frailty models developed in survival analysis for multivariate recurrent event times, but with two important distinctions: (i) the factor (frailty) is of primary interest; (ii) covariates are internal and embedded in the factor. It allows…
We propose a novel framework in high-dimensional factor models to simultaneously analyze multiple tensor time series, each with potentially different tensor orders and dimensionality. The connection between different tensor time series is through their global factors that are correlated to each other. A salient feature of our model is that when all tensor time series have the same order, it can be regarded as an extension of multilevel factor models from vectors to general…
平均处理效应局部化:合成控制中的投影方法
Many real-world policies and business interventions require assessing short-term effects to inform timely decisions, even though most causal inference methods focus on long-term average treatment effects. In this article, we introduce average treatment effect localization (ATEL), which captures localized, short-term policy impacts in panel data settings with a single treated unit and provides early indicators of policy impact. To accommodate both time-varying and nonlinear…