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关注这篇论文的作者
Brian S. Caffo
Wolfgang Jank
Galin L. Jones

基于上升性质的蒙特卡洛 EM 算法

研究问题
MCEM 临近收敛时需要大量模拟,如何按迭代状态分配蒙特卡洛资源,并以高概率保留 EM 的似然上升性质?
方法与思路
作者提出数据驱动的模拟资源控制策略,在统一框架中处理普通蒙特卡洛与 MCMC,并据此构造基于上升性质的 MCEM。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称该策略以高概率恢复似然上升,对用户设定更稳健,并在多个示例中应用,其中一个示例显著加快确定性 EM 的收敛。
阅读关注点
应核对模拟样本量更新、上升判定与停止规则,以及概率保证所需条件,并检查 MCMC 依赖和额外计算成本如何处理。
阅读边界
仅据 Crossref 摘要;高概率上升不等于每步必然上升或全局收敛,具体概率、加速幅度与适用条件均未说明。

原文摘要

Summary The expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm is a popular tool for maximizing likelihood functions in the presence of missing data. Unfortunately, EM often requires the evaluation of analytically intractable and high dimensional integrals. The Monte Carlo EM (MCEM) algorithm is the natural extension of EM that employs Monte Carlo methods to estimate the relevant integrals. Typically, a very large Monte Carlo sample size is required to estimate these integrals within an acceptable tolerance when the algorithm is near convergence. Even if this sample size were known at the onset of implementation of MCEM, its use throughout all iterations is wasteful, especially when accurate starting values are not available. We propose a data-driven strategy for controlling Monte Carlo resources in MCEM. The algorithm proposed improves on similar existing methods by recovering EM's ascent (i.e. likelihood increasing) property with high probability, being more robust to the effect of user-defined inputs and handling classical Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods within a common framework. Because of the first of these properties we refer to the algorithm as ‘ascent-based MCEM’. We apply ascent-based MCEM to a variety of examples, including one where it is used to accelerate the convergence of deterministic EM dramatically.

笔记与分组
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