Interpreting Instrumental Variables Estimates of the Returns to Schooling
如何解释教育回报的工具变量估计AI 解读 ↓
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This article synthesizes economic insights from theoretical models of schooling choice based on individual benefits and econometric work interpreting instrumental variables estimates as weighted averages of individual-specific causal effects. Linkages are illustrated using college proximity to instrument for schooling. After characterizing groups differentially affected by the instrument according to family background, 1 directly compute weights underlying estimation of the overall return. In analyzing the level of schooling at which individuals change their behavior in response to the instrument, I demonstrate that this instrument has its greatest impact on the transition from high school to college. Specification robustness is also examined.
Two frequent approaches for identifying structural VARs are external instruments, which carry economic content but are often weak, and non-Gaussianity of the shocks, which provides statistical identification but carries no economic meaning. We combine the two strategies in a single generalized method of moments framework. This hybrid approach point-identifies the target shocks while also identifying the non-target shocks up to sign and ordering. Under suitable rank…
IV-LASSO 的工具变量字典与惩罚选择
Estimating the first stage of an instrumental variables (IV) model with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) requires choosing a dictionary of technical instruments and a penalty level. First-order asymptotic theory offers no guidance on these choices, as any consistent implementation yields a structural parameter estimator with the same limiting distribution. In finite samples, however, these choices can have a substantial impact on the resulting…
嵌套工具变量分析:转换者平均处理效应及可推广性
Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects from non-randomized data. A canonical example is a randomized trial with noncompliance, in which the randomized treatment assignment serves as an IV for the non-ignorable treatment received. Under a monotonicity assumption, a valid IV nonparametrically identifies the average treatment effect among a latent complier subgroup, whose generalizability is often under debate. In many studies, there exist…
借助知识迁移增强代表性不足子群体的工具变量分析
Instrumental variable (IV) analysis in underrepresented target populations suffers from low statistical efficiency and weak IV bias due to limited sample size. Leveraging external knowledge from a source population with larger samples offers an appealing solution to this problem. We propose in this paper the KNowledge-powered IV Estimator for underrepresented Subpopulations (KNIVES), a framework that enhances the IV analysis for underrepresented subpopulations by…
Instrumental variable (IV) methods mitigate bias from unobserved confounding in observational causal inference but rely on the availability of a valid instrument, which can often be difficult or infeasible to identify in practice. In this paper, we propose a representation learning approach that constructs instrumental representations from observed covariates, which could enable IV-based estimation even in the absence of an explicit instrument. Our model (ZNet) achieves this…
全正编码下的 INSIDE 假设:解释与部分经验评估
Mendelian randomisation (MR) implemented through instrumental variable (IV) analysis is a popular strategy for strengthening causal inference in observational studies. A key assumption for several MR estimators, including MR-Egger regression, is the INstrument Strength Independent of Direct Effect (INSIDE) assumption. However, there is no established empirical test for assessing the plausibility of this assumption. Moreover, INSIDE depends on how genetic variants are coded…