Quasi-Score Matching Estimation for Spatial Autoregressive Model with Random Weights Matrix and Regressors
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With the rapid advancements in technology for data collection, the application of the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model has become increasingly prevalent in real-world analysis, particularly when dealing with large datasets. However, the commonly used quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) for the SAR model is not computationally scalable to handle the data with a large size. In addition, when establishing the asymptotic properties of the parameter estimators of the SAR model, both weights matrix and regressors are assumed to be nonstochastic in classical spatial econometrics, which is perhaps not realistic in real applications. Motivated by the machine learning literature, this paper proposes quasi-score matching estimation for the SAR model. This new estimation approach is developed based on the likelihood, but significantly reduces the computational complexity of the QMLE. The asymptotic properties of parameter estimators under the random weights matrix and regressors are established, which provides a new theoretical framework for the asymptotic inference of the SAR-type models. The usefulness of the quasi-score matching estimation and its asymptotic inference is illustrated via extensive simulation studies and a case study of an anti-conflict social network experiment for middle school students.
随机权重矩阵与回归变量下空间自回归模型的拟得分匹配估计
With the rapid advancements in technology for data collection, the application of the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model has become increasingly prevalent in real-world analysis, particularly when dealing with large datasets. However, the commonly used quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) for the SAR model is not computationally scalable to handle the data with a large size. In addition, when establishing the asymptotic properties of the parameter estimators of the SAR…
对函数形式稳健的空间自回归双重/去偏机器学习推断
Spatial autoregressive inference is typically conditional on the spatial weights matrix, W, even though the underlying interaction structure is often unknown and empirical conclusions can be sensitive to its specification. This paper develops double/debiased machine learning inference for low-dimensional SAR parameters when the spatial interaction operator is learned flexibly from potentially endogenous characteristics. Within a maintained admissible support, interaction…
网络双重自回归
Modeling high-dimensional time series with simple structures is a challenging problem. This paper proposes a network double autoregression (NDAR) model, which combines the advantages of network structure and the double autoregression (DAR) model, to handle high-dimensional, conditionally heteroscedastic, and network-structured data within a simple framework. The parameters of the model are estimated using quasi-maximum likelihood estimation, and the asymptotic properties of…
空间聚类空间自回归模型及其在欧洲农业市场集中度中的应用
In this paper, we present an extension of the spatially-clustered linear regression models, namely, the spatially-clustered spatial autoregression (SCSAR) model, to deal with spatial heterogeneity issues in clustering procedures. In particular, we extend classical spatial econometrics models, such as the spatial autoregressive model, the spatial error model, and the spatially-lagged model, by allowing the regression coefficients to be spatially varying according to a…
社群识别中均值场变分推断的理论与计算保证
The mean field variational Bayes method is becoming increasingly popular in statistics and machine learning. Its iterative coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm has been widely applied to large scale Bayesian inference. See Blei et al. (2017) for a recent comprehensive review. Despite the popularity of the mean field method, there exist remarkably little fundamental theoretical justifications. To the best of our knowledge, the iterative algorithm has never been…
含协变量的有向网络模型中的统计推断
Ting Yana http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9830-6646, Binyan Jiangb, Stephen E. Fienbergc* & Chenlei Lengd*a Department of Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, Chinab Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Chinac Department of Statistics, Heinz College, Machine Learning Department, Cylab, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PAd Department of Statistics, University of Warwick and Alan Turing Institute, Coventry, UKCONTACT…