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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究一般概率目标下的伪边际 MCMC 渐近理论与计算调节,未明确连接所列经济模型或应用方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
S M Schmon
G Deligiannidis
A Doucet
M K Pitt

伪边际方法的大样本渐近理论

研究问题
当目标分布的未归一化密度只能无偏估计时,伪边际 MCMC 如何平衡密度估计成本与遍历平均的渐近方差?
方法与思路
作者在正则条件下研究空间重缩放链的大样本弱收敛,再利用极限链分析正态随机游走提议与蒙特卡洛样本数。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称极限链满足对数密度估计误差分布与参数位置无关的条件,并给出依赖参数维度的大样本调节指导。
阅读关注点
应核对无偏密度估计及正则条件、链的重缩放方式、优化所用效率准则,以及蒙特卡洛样本数的选择规则。
阅读边界
仅据所给 Crossref 摘要,无法给出具体调节数值;极限链性质也不能直接保证有限样本链满足相同条件。

原文摘要

Summary The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density. Practically, one has to trade off the computational resources used to obtain this estimator against the asymptotic variances of the ergodic averages obtained by the pseudo-marginal algorithm. Recent works on optimizing this trade-off rely on some strong assumptions, which can cast doubts over their practical relevance. In particular, they all assume that the distribution of the difference between the log-density, and its estimate is independent of the parameter value at which it is evaluated. Under regularity conditions we show that as the number of data points tends to infinity, a space-rescaled version of the pseudo-marginal chain converges weakly to another pseudo-marginal chain for which this assumption indeed holds. A study of this limiting chain allows us to provide parameter dimension-dependent guidelines on how to optimally scale a normal random walk proposal, and the number of Monte Carlo samples for the pseudo-marginal method in the large-sample regime. These findings complement and validate currently available results.

笔记与分组