High-Dimensional Regularization of the Spatial Sign Covariance Matrix for Robust Shape Estimation
空间符号协方差矩阵的高维正则化与稳健形状估计AI 解读 ↓
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空间符号协方差矩阵的高维正则化与稳健形状估计AI 解读 ↓
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Covariance estimation is a key component of many applications in system identification and data-driven control. Although heavy-tailed distributions may lack a covariance matrix to estimate, the shape matrix provides a well-defined, scale-free generalization for the broad family of elliptical distributions. In this setting, practitioners often employ Tyler's M-estimator (TME), which is defined implicitly and is computed using a fixed-point iteration. The spatial sign covariance matrix estimator (SSCM) offers a much simpler alternative: it corresponds to one iteration of TME. Yet, the SSCM has been largely regarded as an inferior estimator due to its statistical inconsistency under fixed-dimensional asymptotics. By contrast, using second-order tools from random matrix theory, we establish that, under standard assumptions, SSCM asymptotically dominates TME in Frobenius risk when dimension and sample size grow proportionally. This advantage arises from implicit regularization, which reduces variance at the cost of a bias that vanishes as the dimension grows. Numerical experiments support the theoretical predictions even at moderate dimensions.
小噪声下维度发散的网络随机微分方程推断
We consider inference for network stochastic differential equations in a small-noise, high-dimensional regime, where the diffusion coefficient vanishes with $\ep\to0$ while the network size and parameter dimension may diverge. We develop a minimum-distance estimation framework based on a deterministic measurement model that may omit nuisance terms in the drift, and derive a non-asymptotic error bound decomposing the estimation error into stochastic fluctuation, nuisance…
基于大语言模型文本测量的再犯预测、同伴效应估计与预测辅助推断
We provide a new framework for estimating peer effects when outcomes are multivariate behavioral measures derived from written text using an LLM and the network formation is endogenous. We obtain LLM embeddings and zero shot classification of more than 200,000 written exchanges among residents of low-security correctional facilities. We find that LLM embeddings improve out-of-sample recidivism prediction by up to 30% over pre-entry covariates alone using LASSO and LoRA…
网络实现 GARCH–Itô 模型:基于高频识别的波动率溢出
We introduce a network realized GARCH-Itô model in which volatility transmission is a dynamic relation among the latent daily integrated volatilities of multiple assets. An unknown directed and signed network is embedded in a continuous-time variance process and appears in the resulting exponential daily recursion. Intraday returns identify integrated volatility and hence the network that governs its propagation. For a fixed network template, feasible estimation based on…
空间函数对函数分位数回归
This paper introduces a novel penalized spatial function-on-function quantile regression framework for analyzing spatially indexed functional data, bridging a critical gap between spatial functional models and quantile regression. Our work makes three key contributions. First, we propose the first spatial function-on-function quantile regression model that jointly accounts for spatial correlation across curves through a functional spatial autoregressive structure while…
高维变点检测的椭圆正则化Hotelling检验
We propose an elliptical regularized Hotelling (ERHT) procedure for detecting location changes in high-dimensional sequences with heavy-tailed, cross-sectionally dependent observations. ERHT contrasts spatial medians on adjacent segments using a ridge-regularized inverse of the pooled centered spatial-sign covariance matrix, thereby combining robustness to radial variation with dependence-aware weighting. We establish Gaussian-process limits for the single- and…
利用网络结构的工具变量回归:因果节点发现与估计
Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured exposures is a fundamental challenge in modern applications ranging from neuroscience and finance to environmental science. While the literature has addressed high-dimensional instrumental variable (IV) regression, and separately leveraged graph structure in penalized regression, the integration of both, especially for causal support recovery in the presence of latent confounding, remains unexplored. In this work,…