Comparison of Smoothing Parameterizations in Bivariate Kernel Density Estimation
二元核密度估计中平滑参数化的比较AI 解读 ↓
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二元核密度估计中平滑参数化的比较AI 解读 ↓
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The basic kernel density estimator in one dimension has a single smoothing parameter, usually referred to as the bandwidth. For higher dimensions, however, there are several options for smoothing parameterization of the kernel estimator. For the bivariate case, there can be between one and three independent smoothing parameters in the estimator, which leads to a flexibility versus complexity trade-off when using this estimator in practice. In this article the performances of the different possible smoothing parameterizations are compared, using both the asymptotic and exact mean integrated squared error. Our results show that it is important to have independent smoothing parameters for each of the coordinate directions. Although this is enough for many situations, for densities with high amounts of curvature in directions different to those of the coordinate axes, substantial gains can be made by allowing the kernel mass to have arbitrary orientations. The “sphering” approaches to choosing this orientation are shown to be detrimental in general, however.
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Uniform confidence bands are widely used in empirical analysis for uncertainty qualification of nonparametric inference of unknown functions. A variety of simple implementation methods, including multiplier bootstrap, have been proposed and theoretically justified. However, an implementation over a literally continuous index set is generally computationally infeasible, and practitioners therefore compute the critical value by evaluating the statistic on a finite evaluation…
RBF 核高斯过程最大似然估计的精确渐近理论
Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the radial basis function (RBF), also known as the squared exponential or Gaussian kernel, owing to its simple form, smoothness, and flexibility. In practice, the…
We study nonparametric inference for a continuous-treatment causal dose-response curve and its first derivative under unmeasured confounding, using treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies. We establish a proximal doubly robust pseudo-outcome whose conditional mean given treatment equals the dose-response curve whenever either bridge function is correctly specified. Their (smoothed) efficient influence function representations lead to cross-fitted local-polynomial estimators…
检测Copula结构变化的平滑检验方法
This paper develops novel smooth tests for structural changes in the innovation copula of multivariate dynamic models. We characterize deviations from copula constancy through a collection of generalized Fourier coefficients and test their joint significance. Under the null hypothesis, estimation of the dynamic parameters and the unknown marginals has no first-order estimation effect on the proposed statistics. Consequently, the feasible tests based on estimated residuals…
平均处理效应局部化:合成控制中的投影方法
Many real-world policies and business interventions require assessing short-term effects to inform timely decisions, even though most causal inference methods focus on long-term average treatment effects. In this article, we introduce average treatment effect localization (ATEL), which captures localized, short-term policy impacts in panel data settings with a single treated unit and provides early indicators of policy impact. To accommodate both time-varying and nonlinear…